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Matchakhela vs Borjomi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Matchakhela in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matchakhela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Matchakhela
20%
Draws
40%
Borjomi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Borjomi have won more games recently than Matchakhela.
  • Win probability leans Borjomi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Matchakhela Clean Sheet 20%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matchakhela Borjomi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2024 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Matchakhela
1:0
Mar 28, 2024 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Borjomi
1:0
Nov 15, 2023 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Borjomi
2:0
Aug 3, 2023 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Matchakhela
3:1
Oct 8, 2018 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Borjomi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matchakhela 10 / 100
Borjomi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matchakhela Borjomi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borjomi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matchakhela scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Borjomi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Borjomi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Borjomi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Matchakhela

(Home)
07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8
Guria
29 Nov
FC Gardabani
6 : 1
Matchakhela
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10
Gori
14 Nov
Betlemi Keda
5 : 1
Matchakhela
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
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Borjomi

(Away)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)