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Matchakhela vs FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Matchakhela in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matchakhela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Matchakhela
30%
Draws
47%
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Matchakhela lately — more wins on the board than FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II.
  • FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Matchakhela Clean Sheet 20%
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matchakhela FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.06 1
Goals Conceded 2.81 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2023 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
2:1
Jun 1, 2023 Liga 3
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II vs Matchakhela
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matchakhela 10 / 100
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matchakhela FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matchakhela's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Matchakhela VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matchakhela

(Home)
07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8
Guria
29 Nov
FC Gardabani
6 : 1
Matchakhela
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10
Gori
14 Nov
Betlemi Keda
5 : 1
Matchakhela
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
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FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II

(Away)
01 Dec
FC Tbilisi 2025
3 : 1
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
25 Nov
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
1 : 1
Chikhura Sachkhere
21 Nov
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
2 : 0
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
14 Nov
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
2 : 2
FC Rustavi
07 Nov
Borjomi
3 : 1
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)