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Matchakhela vs Samgurali II

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Matchakhela in this Liga 3 2018 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matchakhela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Matchakhela
15%
Draws
73%
Samgurali II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samgurali II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Samgurali II have won more games recently than Matchakhela.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Samgurali II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Matchakhela Clean Sheet 10%
Samgurali II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matchakhela Samgurali II
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.08 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.58 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2018 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Samgurali II
5:1
Jun 19, 2018 Liga 3
Samgurali II vs Matchakhela
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matchakhela 10 / 100
Samgurali II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matchakhela Samgurali II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samgurali II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali II has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Matchakhela scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

Difficult form: Samgurali II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matchakhela VS Samgurali II
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Matchakhela

(Home)
07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8
Guria
29 Nov
FC Gardabani
6 : 1
Matchakhela
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10
Gori
14 Nov
Betlemi Keda
5 : 1
Matchakhela
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
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Samgurali II

(Away)
21 Jul
Samgurali II
0 : 2
Gagra
10 Jun
Real Varketili 2
1 : 5
Samgurali II
21 Apr
Samgurali II
1 : 3
Telavi
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Dusheti
5 : 0
Samgurali II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)