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Matchakhela vs Shturmi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Matchakhela Logo

Matchakhela

0 - 4
FT
Shturmi Logo

Shturmi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Matchakhela and Shturmi finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shturmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Matchakhela
30%
Draws
58%
Shturmi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Very High Confidence
  • Shturmi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shturmi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Matchakhela Clean Sheet 20%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matchakhela Shturmi
Matches Played 34 39
Wins 8 22
Draws 6 11
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2023 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Shturmi
0:4
May 17, 2023 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Matchakhela
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matchakhela 10 / 100
Shturmi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matchakhela Shturmi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matchakhela scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Shturmi conceded in 49% of 39 recent games.

Recent resilience: Matchakhela stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Shturmi
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Matchakhela

(Home)
07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8
Guria
29 Nov
FC Gardabani
6 : 1
Matchakhela
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10
Gori
14 Nov
Betlemi Keda
5 : 1
Matchakhela
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
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Shturmi

(Away)
26 Jul
Samtredia
2 : 1
Shturmi
26 Jun
West Georgia
0 : 2
Shturmi
22 Jun
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 0
Shturmi
17 Jun
FC Gareji Sagarejo
0 : 0
Shturmi
13 Jun
Shturmi
0 : 2
Telavi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)