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Matchakhela vs Shturmi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Matchakhela Logo

Matchakhela

0 - 4
FT
Shturmi Logo

Shturmi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Matchakhela and Shturmi finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shturmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Matchakhela
20%
Draws
73%
Shturmi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Shturmi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shturmi a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Matchakhela Clean Sheet 20%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matchakhela Shturmi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.87 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2023 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Shturmi
0:4
May 17, 2023 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Matchakhela
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matchakhela 10 / 100
Shturmi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matchakhela Shturmi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shturmi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matchakhela scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Shturmi conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Matchakhela stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Shturmi
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matchakhela

(Home)
07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8
Guria
29 Nov
FC Gardabani
6 : 1
Matchakhela
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10
Gori
14 Nov
Betlemi Keda
5 : 1
Matchakhela
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
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Shturmi

(Away)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Shturmi
2 : 0
Odishi 1919
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)