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Matebele vs Santa Green

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Matebele
15%
Draws
49%
Santa Green
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Green haven't matched Matebele's recent run of results.
  • Matebele are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Matebele Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Green Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matebele Santa Green
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.76 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Matebele vs Santa Green
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Santa Green vs Matebele
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matebele 76 / 100
Santa Green 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matebele Santa Green

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matebele Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Green let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Santa Green's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Matebele's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Matebele VS Santa Green
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Matebele

(Home)
12 Sept
Enesia
1 : 0
Matebele
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
12 May
Matebele
1 : 0
Township Rollers
Page 1 of 6

Santa Green

(Away)
23 May
Black Lions
2 : 1
Santa Green
13 May
Tafic FC
5 : 0
Santa Green
05 May
Santa Green
1 : 0
Orapa United
24 Apr
Matebele
1 : 1
Santa Green
11 Apr
Santa Green
0 : 1
Township Rollers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)