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Matebele vs Security Systems

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2024/2025 BIAC Stadium, Gaborone
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Match Events

40' Event
Keselebale T.
Assist: Agyei M.

AI Match Summary

Security Systems in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Security Systems.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Matebele
15%
Draws
49%
Security Systems
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Security Systems

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Matebele have won more games recently than Security Systems.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Matebele Clean Sheet 20%
Security Systems Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matebele Security Systems
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2025 Premier League
Matebele vs Security Systems
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Premier League
Security Systems vs Matebele
0:2
Feb 21, 2024 Premier League
Matebele vs Security Systems
0:1
Oct 7, 2023 Premier League
Security Systems vs Matebele
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matebele Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Security Systems Compare

Top Goalscorer Keselebale T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matebele 36 / 100
Security Systems 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matebele Security Systems

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Security Systems Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Matebele scored in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Security Systems conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Security Systems lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matebele VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matebele

(Home)
12 Sept
Enesia
1 : 0
Matebele
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
12 May
Matebele
1 : 0
Township Rollers
Page 1 of 7

Security Systems

(Away)
24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3
Security Systems
17 May
Security Systems
7 : 1
Chadibe
14 May
Centre Chiefs
3 : 2
Security Systems
04 May
Security Systems
0 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
16 Apr
Tafic FC
3 : 1
Security Systems
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 20 6 4 56:23 66
2 Tafic FC 30 17 9 4 51:23 60
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 17 8 5 63:31 59
4 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 15 14 1 43:20 59
5 Centre Chiefs 30 15 11 4 46:20 56
6 Township Rollers 30 15 9 6 37:28 54
7 Morupule 30 12 6 12 41:36 42
8 Orapa United 30 9 13 8 36:31 40
9 VTM FC 30 8 11 11 36:33 35
10 Nico United 30 7 11 12 18:32 32
11 BDF XI 30 7 10 13 28:33 31
12 Matebele 30 8 6 16 30:45 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 8 5 17 25:48 29
14 Security Systems 30 6 8 16 30:45 26
15 Chadibe 30 2 10 18 19:62 16
16 Flamingo Santos 30 2 7 21 18:67 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)