Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Matelica vs Jesina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Moretti F.
60' Event
Croce M.
89' Event
Leonetti V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 game between Matelica and Jesina finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matelica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Matelica
30%
Draws
6%
Jesina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matelica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Matelica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Matelica's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Matelica Clean Sheet 20%
Jesina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matelica Jesina
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 15 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.69 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Matelica vs Jesina
3:0
Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Matelica
1:3
Apr 7, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Matelica vs Jesina
3:3
Dec 2, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Matelica
1:0
Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Matelica
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matelica Compare

Top Goalscorer Moretti F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Croce M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Jesina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matelica 58 / 100
Jesina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matelica Jesina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matelica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matelica found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Jesina let in goals in 95% of their last 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Matelica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matelica VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matelica

(Home)
26 May
Renate
1 : 1
Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3
Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1
Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 7

Jesina

(Away)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
Page 1 of 5