Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Sub
Firenze M. In: Biasci T.
Out: Firenze M.
18'
18'
Moretti F.
20'
20'
Gasbarro A.
AI Match Summary
Matelica in this Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matelica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matelica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Padova haven't matched Matelica's recent run of results.
- Model gives Matelica a 43% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Matelica Clean Sheet 68%
Padova Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matelica | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Matelica vs Padova
4:1
Nov 15, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Padova vs Matelica
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matelica Compare
Top Goalscorer Moretti F.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Padova Compare
Top Goalscorer Biasci T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matelica 68 / 100
Padova 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matelica Padova
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matelica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Matelica scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Matelica remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Padova has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Padova
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Matelica
(Home) 26 May
Renate
1 : 1 Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1 Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3 Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0 Imolese
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1 Renate
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0 Imolese
18 Apr
Matelica
0 : 0 Fano
03 Apr
Matelica
1 : 0 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 3
Padova
(Away) 23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1 Padova
15 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0 Padova
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3 Padova
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2 Padova
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3 Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1 Padova
15 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0 Padova
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3 Padova
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2 Padova
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1 Padova
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perugia | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 67:30 | 79 |
| 2 | Padova | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 68:26 | 79 |
| 3 | Sudtirol | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 66:29 | 75 |
| 4 | Modena | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 51:28 | 70 |
| 5 | FeralpiSalo | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 54:46 | 60 |
| 6 | Triestina | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 48:40 | 59 |
| 7 | Cesena | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 51:42 | 57 |
| 8 | Matelica | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 59:62 | 56 |
| 9 | Sambenedettese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:43 | 50 |
| 10 | Mantova | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 47:49 | 49 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 43:44 | 49 |
| 12 | Gubbio | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:45 | 48 |
| 13 | Fermana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 31:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 41:57 | 41 |
| 15 | Carpi | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 45:62 | 41 |
| 16 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 17 | Imolese | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 34:55 | 35 |
| 18 | Fano | 38 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 32:47 | 33 |
| 19 | Ravenna | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 32:62 | 30 |
| 20 | Arezzo | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 37:66 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie B 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
