Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Di Piazza M.
(Penalty)
29'
29'
Di Piazza M.
65'
65'
Rajkovic M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Matera and Brindisi finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Matera carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Matera Clean Sheet 68%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matera | Brindisi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Brindisi
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Matera
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Matera
1:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Brindisi
2:1
Jan 26, 2014 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Brindisi
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matera Compare
Top Goalscorer Di Piazza M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Brindisi Compare
Top Goalscorer Rajkovic M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Manole M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matera 41 / 100
Brindisi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matera Brindisi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Matera's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Brindisi conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Matera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Matera VS Brindisi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Matera
(Home) 04 May
Matera
2 : 2 Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4 Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1 Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2 Matera
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Matera
2 : 2 Nocerina
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1 Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
30 Mar
Matera
2 : 2 Brindisi
09 Mar
Matera
0 : 0 Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 3
Brindisi
(Away) 04 May
Brindisi
0 : 0 Francavilla
27 Apr
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Brindisi
17 Apr
Brindisi
3 : 2 A.C.D. Nardo
13 Apr
Nocerina
2 : 0 Brindisi
06 Apr
Brindisi
3 : 0 ASD Ugento
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Brindisi
13 Apr
Nocerina
2 : 0 Brindisi
30 Mar
Matera
2 : 2 Brindisi
09 Mar
Citta di Fasano
3 : 0 Brindisi
16 Feb
Costa Amalfi
2 : 2 Brindisi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casarano | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 72:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Nocerina | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:28 | 62 |
| 4 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:29 | 57 |
| 5 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Matera | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 51:47 | 49 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41:34 | 47 |
| 8 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Ischia | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 39:45 | 45 |
| 10 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 41:45 | 42 |
| 11 | Gravina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:46 | 42 |
| 12 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 28:34 | 41 |
| 13 | Acerrana | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 14 | ASD Ugento | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:51 | 37 |
| 15 | Manfredonia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:51 | 35 |
| 16 | Brindisi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 44:43 | 27 |
| 17 | Angri | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:69 | 26 |
| 18 | Costa Amalfi | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:62 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)
