Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Matera vs Ischia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Mattera G.
90' Event
Errico G.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Matera and Ischia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Matera
20%
Draws
48%
Ischia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ischia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ischia come out ahead of Matera on wins alone.
  • Model gives Matera a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Matera here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Matera Clean Sheet 68%
Ischia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matera Ischia
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Ischia
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Ischia vs Matera
1:2
Apr 24, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Matera vs Ischia
4:1
Dec 12, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Ischia vs Matera
0:5
Apr 25, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Ischia vs Matera
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Ischia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattera G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matera 68 / 100
Ischia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matera Ischia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ischia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Matera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ischia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Matera

(Home)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
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Ischia

(Away)
13 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1
Ischia
31 Jul
Juve Stabia
5 : 1
Ischia
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1
Ischia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)