Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 game between Matese and Fossombrone finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fossombrone carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Matese a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matese | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 41 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matese Compare
Fossombrone Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fossombrone let in goals in 66% of their last 41 matches.
Fossombrone's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Matese found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Matese
(Home)Fossombrone
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:29 | 70 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 40:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Avezzano | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 50:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 57:36 | 58 |
| 5 | Roma City | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 39:33 | 50 |
| 7 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57:50 | 49 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 48 |
| 9 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 37:38 | 45 |
| 10 | Termoli | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Fossombrone | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 28:28 | 41 |
| 12 | AS Sora | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 42:60 | 41 |
| 14 | Tivoli Calcio | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:55 | 37 |
| 15 | United Riccione | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 48:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Fano | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35:49 | 32 |
| 17 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | 29 |
| 18 | Matese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 20:51 | 26 |
