Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sambenedettese lately — more wins on the board than Matese.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Matese Clean Sheet 28%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matese | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Sambenedettese
0:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Sambenedettese vs Matese
3:0
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Sambenedettese
1:2
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Sambenedettese vs Matese
1:2
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Sambenedettese vs Matese
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matese 34 / 100
Sambenedettese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matese Sambenedettese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sambenedettese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sambenedettese conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Sambenedettese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Matese scored in 30% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sambenedettese
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Matese
(Home) 05 May
Matese
0 : 0 Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0 Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2 Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0 Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
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05 May
Matese
0 : 0 Calcio Chieti
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2 Termoli
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
24 Mar
Matese
0 : 0 Sambenedettese
10 Mar
Matese
1 : 0 Fossombrone
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Sambenedettese
(Away) 06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2 Sambenedettese
29 Aug
Sassari Torres
1 : 0 Sambenedettese
23 Aug
Sambenedettese
2 : 2 Forli FC
16 Aug
Pescara
0 : 1 Sambenedettese
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02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2 Sambenedettese
29 Aug
Sassari Torres
1 : 0 Sambenedettese
16 Aug
Pescara
0 : 1 Sambenedettese
29 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
26 Apr
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3 Sambenedettese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:29 | 70 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 40:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Avezzano | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 50:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 57:36 | 58 |
| 5 | Roma City | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 39:33 | 50 |
| 7 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57:50 | 49 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 48 |
| 9 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 37:38 | 45 |
| 10 | Termoli | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Fossombrone | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 28:28 | 41 |
| 12 | AS Sora | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 42:60 | 41 |
| 14 | Tivoli Calcio | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:55 | 37 |
| 15 | United Riccione | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 48:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Fano | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35:49 | 32 |
| 17 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | 29 |
| 18 | Matese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 20:51 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)
