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Matese vs Tivoli Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Pellegrini T.
90' Event
Camilli M.

AI Match Summary

Tivoli Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tivoli Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Matese
15%
Draws
51%
Tivoli Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tivoli Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Matese haven't matched Tivoli Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Matese Clean Sheet 21%
Tivoli Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matese Tivoli Calcio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.6 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Tivoli Calcio
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Tivoli Calcio vs Matese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tivoli Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrini T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camilli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matese 32 / 100
Tivoli Calcio 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matese Tivoli Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tivoli Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tivoli Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Tivoli Calcio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Matese found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Matese VS Tivoli Calcio
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Matese

(Home)
05 May
Matese
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0
Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2
Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0
Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
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Tivoli Calcio

(Away)
12 May
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 3
United Riccione
05 May
Tivoli Calcio
1 : 0
Fossombrone
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4
Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
1 : 2
Avezzano
14 Apr
AS Sora
5 : 0
Tivoli Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)