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Mateszalkai MTK vs Karcagi

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northeast 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Szekely D.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Northeast 2024/2025 game between Mateszalkai MTK and Karcagi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karcagi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mateszalkai MTK
20%
Draws
40%
Karcagi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Mateszalkai MTK's 1.28 goals per match outpaces what Karcagi have produced (1.03).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NB III - Northeast 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mateszalkai MTK Clean Sheet 14%
Karcagi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mateszalkai MTK Karcagi
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 10
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 NB III - Northeast
Mateszalkai MTK vs Karcagi
0:1
Sep 8, 2024 NB III - Northeast
Karcagi vs Mateszalkai MTK
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mateszalkai MTK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Karcagi Compare

Top Goalscorer Szekely D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mateszalkai MTK 30 / 100
Karcagi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mateszalkai MTK Karcagi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mateszalkai MTK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karcagi conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Mateszalkai MTK scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Mateszalkai MTK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mateszalkai MTK VS Karcagi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mateszalkai MTK

(Home)
26 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
2 : 1
Ozd-Sajovolgye
19 Sept
Eger
0 : 3
Mateszalkai MTK
12 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
1 : 3
Kozarmisleny SE
05 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
1 : 1
Debreceni EAC
29 Aug
Fuzesabony
3 : 0
Mateszalkai MTK
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Karcagi

(Away)
20 Sept
Karcagi
1 : 1
Kozarmisleny SE
13 Sept
Karcagi
1 : 5
Gyor
05 Sept
Gyirmot FC Gyor
2 : 0
Karcagi
30 Aug
Karcagi
2 : 1
Videoton
22 Aug
BVSC-Zuglo
1 : 4
Karcagi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karcagi 30 21 7 2 66:25 70
2 Debreceni EAC 30 21 4 5 50:24 67
3 Putnok VSE 30 19 3 8 66:31 60
4 Tiszafuredi 30 14 8 8 50:43 50
5 Tiszaujvaros 30 14 7 9 41:39 49
6 Kisvarda FC II 30 12 9 9 37:36 45
7 Cigand SE 30 12 7 11 43:37 43
8 Eger 30 10 8 12 40:49 38
9 DVTK II 30 10 7 13 40:41 37
10 Debrecen II 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
11 Nyiregyhaza II 30 9 8 13 47:44 35
12 Senyo 30 9 5 16 41:61 32
13 Fuzesabony 30 8 6 16 36:51 30
14 Hatvan FC 30 7 9 14 29:45 30
15 Salgotarjani BTC 30 7 8 15 31:56 29
16 Mateszalkai MTK 30 3 5 22 25:53 14
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs 2024/2025 (Main)