Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mateszalkai MTK vs Kozarmisleny SE

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup Mateszalkai Varosi Sporttelep, Mateszalka
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Mateszalkai MTK
20%
Draws
30%
Kozarmisleny SE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mateszalkai MTK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kozarmisleny SE come out ahead of Mateszalkai MTK on wins alone.
  • Mateszalkai MTK are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Kozarmisleny SE arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kozarmisleny SE, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mateszalkai MTK Clean Sheet 20%
Kozarmisleny SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mateszalkai MTK Kozarmisleny SE
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Mateszalkai MTK vs Kozarmisleny SE
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mateszalkai MTK 58 / 100
Kozarmisleny SE 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mateszalkai MTK Kozarmisleny SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mateszalkai MTK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kozarmisleny SE let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Mateszalkai MTK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Kozarmisleny SE registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mateszalkai MTK VS Kozarmisleny SE
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mateszalkai MTK

(Home)
05 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
1 : 1
Debreceni EAC
29 Aug
Fuzesabony
3 : 0
Mateszalkai MTK
26 Aug
Mateszalkai MTK
2 : 2
DVTK II
21 Aug
Salgotarjani BTC
0 : 2
Mateszalkai MTK
16 Aug
Hajdunanas
3 : 0
Mateszalkai MTK
Page 1 of 6

Kozarmisleny SE

(Away)
05 Sept
Kozarmisleny SE
2 : 0
Mezokovesd-Zsory
29 Aug
Kecskemeti TE
3 : 0
Kozarmisleny SE
22 Aug
Kozarmisleny SE
1 : 2
Szeged-Csanad GA
15 Aug
Kazincbarcika
2 : 1
Kozarmisleny SE
09 Aug
Csakvari
2 : 0
Kozarmisleny SE
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Mori SE 0
Dorogi FC 7
TBD -
Ujpest -
Balatoni Vasas 0
Nagykozar KSE 1
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Kormendi 1
Mezoors 8
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
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Paks -
Albidok 0
Debreceni EAC 5
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Szabadkikoto 0
Godollo 2
TBD -
Debrecen -
Majosi 7
III. Keruleti TVE 2
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
TFSE-Tent Budapest 2
Siofok 0
TBD -
Vasas -
Bajai 2
Csor FC 0
TBD -
Honved -
Ikarus 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 3
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Zalaegerszegi -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
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MTK Budapest -
Karcagi -
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Gyor -
Csepel UFC 0
Csepel 3
Epitok 2
Villanyi 3
Szeged-Csanad GA -
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Erdi 0
Ivancsa 3
Bicskei 3
Sarisapi Banyasz 1
Penzugyor SE 1
Harta SE 2
VSC Veszprem 0
Haladas VSE 1
Senyo 0
Tiszafuredi 1
Emodi 2
Tarpa 1
Ibrany SE 0
Ozd-Sajovolgye 2
Ujdombrad SE 0
Cigand SE 3
Felsopakony 1
FC Dabas 3
Kaposvar 1
PTE-PEAC 0
Mezocsat 3
Hatvan FC 5
Pecsi MFC 3
Sarbogard 0
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Tiszakecske -
Ajka -
TBD -
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BVSC-Zuglo -
Andrashida TE 2
Sopron 8
Janoshalmi 0
Szegedi 5
Szentlorinc SE -
TBD -
Gyulai Termal 5
BKV Elore 1
Intretech Kapuvari SE 1
Tatabanya 2
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
Salgotarjani BTC 0
Mateszalkai MTK 2
Nagykanizsa FC -
TBD -
Monori 3
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Karancslapujto 5
Edeleny 0
Nagybatony 0
Tiszaujvaros 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Sandorfalvi 1
Szolnoki MAV 3
Ugod 0
Komaromi VSE 4
Bony 0
Lebeny SE 2
Algyo SK 0
ESMTK Budapest 3
DVTK -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Soroksar -
TBD -
Heviz 3
Balatonfuredi 1
1/32-finals
Dorogi FC -
Ujpest -
Nagykozar KSE -
Kisvarda FC -
Mezoors -
Puskas Academy -
Kazincbarcika 1
Paks 0
Debreceni EAC 0
Ferencvaros 7
Godollo 0
Debrecen 0
Majosi 0
Nyiregyhaza 2
TFSE-Tent Budapest -
Vasas -
Bajai -
Honved -
Dunaharaszti MTK -
Zalaegerszegi -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
MTK Budapest -
Karcagi -
Gyor -
Csepel -
Villanyi -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Ivancsa -
Bicskei -
Harta SE -
Haladas VSE -
Tiszafuredi -
Emodi -
Ozd-Sajovolgye -
Cigand SE -
FC Dabas -
Kaposvar -
Hatvan FC -
Pecsi MFC -
Tiszakecske -
Ajka -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Sopron 6
Szegedi 3
Szentlorinc SE -
Gyulai Termal -
Tatabanya 1
Kecskemeti TE 1
Kozarmisleny SE -
Mateszalkai MTK -
Nagykanizsa FC 0
Monori 0
Karancslapujto -
Tiszaujvaros -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Csakvari -
Szolnoki MAV 0
Komaromi VSE 0
Lebeny SE -
ESMTK Budapest -
DVTK -
Videoton -
Soroksar -
Heviz -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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