Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mateszalkai MTK vs Kozarmisleny SE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup Mateszalkai Varosi Sporttelep, Mateszalka
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Herczeg B.
23' Event
Zamostny B.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Geller A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mateszalkai MTK
20%
Draws
42%
Kozarmisleny SE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kozarmisleny SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kozarmisleny SE come out ahead of Mateszalkai MTK on wins alone.
  • Mateszalkai MTK are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Kozarmisleny SE arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kozarmisleny SE, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mateszalkai MTK Clean Sheet 16%
Kozarmisleny SE Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mateszalkai MTK Kozarmisleny SE
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Mateszalkai MTK vs Kozarmisleny SE
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mateszalkai MTK Compare

Top Goalscorer Micovda M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kozarmisleny SE Compare

Top Goalscorer Herczeg B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Geller A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mateszalkai MTK 57 / 100
Kozarmisleny SE 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mateszalkai MTK Kozarmisleny SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mateszalkai MTK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Mateszalkai MTK scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Kozarmisleny SE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Mateszalkai MTK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mateszalkai MTK VS Kozarmisleny SE
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mateszalkai MTK

(Home)
01 Nov
Nyiregyhaza II
1 : 3
Mateszalkai MTK
24 Oct
Mateszalkai MTK
4 : 0
Tarpa
17 Oct
Tiszafuredi
0 : 0
Mateszalkai MTK
10 Oct
Mateszalkai MTK
0 : 1
Cigand SE
03 Oct
Tiszaujvaros
2 : 2
Mateszalkai MTK
Page 1 of 6

Kozarmisleny SE

(Away)
01 Nov
Soroksar
0 : 1
Kozarmisleny SE
28 Oct
Kozarmisleny SE
3 : 2
Soroksar
24 Oct
Kozarmisleny SE
0 : 2
Szentlorinc SE
17 Oct
Nagykanizsa FC
0 : 3
Kozarmisleny SE
10 Oct
Kozarmisleny SE
0 : 2
DVTK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kaposvar 1
PTE-PEAC 0
Mezocsat 3
Hatvan FC 5
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Csepel UFC 0
Csepel 3
Epitok 2
Villanyi 3
Szabadkikoto 0
Godollo 2
TBD -
Debrecen -
Nagykanizsa FC -
TBD -
Monori 3
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Emodi 2
Tarpa 1
Ibrany SE 0
Ozd-Sajovolgye 2
Majosi 7
III. Keruleti TVE 2
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Bony 0
Lebeny SE 2
Algyo SK 0
ESMTK Budapest 3
VSC Veszprem 0
Haladas VSE 1
Senyo 0
Tiszafuredi 1
Szentlorinc SE -
TBD -
Gyulai Termal 5
BKV Elore 1
TFSE-Tent Budapest 2
Siofok 0
TBD -
Vasas -
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
Salgotarjani BTC 0
Mateszalkai MTK 2
Soroksar -
TBD -
Heviz 3
Balatonfuredi 1
DVTK -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Kormendi 1
Mezoors 8
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Karancslapujto 5
Edeleny 0
Nagybatony 0
Tiszaujvaros 1
Intretech Kapuvari SE 1
Tatabanya 2
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
TBD -
Erdi 0
Ivancsa 3
Mori SE 0
Dorogi FC 7
TBD -
Ujpest -
Ujdombrad SE 0
Cigand SE 3
Felsopakony 1
FC Dabas 3
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Ikarus 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 3
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Karcagi -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Andrashida TE 2
Sopron 8
Janoshalmi 0
Szegedi 5
Sandorfalvi 1
Szolnoki MAV 3
Ugod 0
Komaromi VSE 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bajai 2
Csor FC 0
TBD -
Honved -
Pecsi MFC 3
Sarbogard 0
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Balatoni Vasas 0
Nagykozar KSE 1
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Bicskei 3
Sarisapi Banyasz 1
Penzugyor SE 1
Harta SE 2
Albidok 0
Debreceni EAC 5
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
1/32-finals
Kaposvar 4
Hatvan FC 1
Ajka 3
BVSC-Zuglo 2
Csepel 3
Villanyi 1
Godollo 2
Debrecen 3
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Monori 2
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
MTK Budapest 2
Emodi 0
Ozd-Sajovolgye 5
Majosi 1
Nyiregyhaza 8
Lebeny SE 1
ESMTK Budapest 7
Haladas VSE 4
Tiszafuredi 0
Szentlorinc SE 1
Gyulai Termal 0
TFSE-Tent Budapest 1
Vasas 3
Kozarmisleny SE 3
Mateszalkai MTK 1
Soroksar 6
Heviz 1
DVTK 4
Videoton 1
Mezoors 1
Puskas Academy 8
Karancslapujto 2
Tiszaujvaros 4
Tatabanya 4
Kecskemeti TE 5
Szeged-Csanad GA 4
Ivancsa 0
Dorogi FC 0
Ujpest 2
Cigand SE 3
FC Dabas 2
Kazincbarcika 1
Paks 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 1
Zalaegerszegi 5
Karcagi 1
Gyor 5
Sopron 6
Szegedi 3
Szolnoki MAV 3
Komaromi VSE 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Csakvari 0
Bajai 0
Honved 7
Pecsi MFC 3
Tiszakecske 2
Nagykozar KSE 0
Kisvarda FC 9
Bicskei 1
Harta SE 0
Debreceni EAC 0
Ferencvaros 7
1/16-finals
Kaposvar 0
Ajka 2
Csepel 2
Debrecen 3
Monori 1
MTK Budapest 5
Ozd-Sajovolgye 1
Nyiregyhaza 3
ESMTK Budapest 1
Haladas VSE 0
Szentlorinc SE 3
Vasas 4
Kozarmisleny SE 3
Soroksar 2
DVTK 1
Puskas Academy 2
Tiszaujvaros 0
Kecskemeti TE 4
Szeged-Csanad GA 1
Ujpest 3
Cigand SE 1
Paks 2
Zalaegerszegi 3
Gyor 1
Sopron 3
Szolnoki MAV 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 3
Honved 1
Pecsi MFC 4
Kisvarda FC 2
Bicskei 1
Ferencvaros 4
1/8-finals
Ajka -
Debrecen -
MTK Budapest -
Nyiregyhaza -
ESMTK Budapest -
Vasas -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Puskas Academy -
Kecskemeti TE -
Ujpest -
Paks -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sopron -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Pecsi MFC -
Ferencvaros -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -