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Mateszalkai MTK vs Ozd-Sajovolgye - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northeast
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Vamos M.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Varadi A.
75' Event
Otvos G.

AI Match Summary

Mateszalkai MTK in this NB III - Northeast matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mateszalkai MTK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mateszalkai MTK
20%
Draws
48%
Ozd-Sajovolgye
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ozd-Sajovolgye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ozd-Sajovolgye lately — more wins on the board than Mateszalkai MTK.
  • Ozd-Sajovolgye are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Northeast form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mateszalkai MTK Clean Sheet 20%
Ozd-Sajovolgye Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mateszalkai MTK Ozd-Sajovolgye
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.34 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 NB III - Northeast
Mateszalkai MTK vs Ozd-Sajovolgye
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mateszalkai MTK Compare

Top Goalscorer Otvos G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ozd-Sajovolgye Compare

Top Goalscorer Varadi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mateszalkai MTK 10 / 100
Ozd-Sajovolgye 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mateszalkai MTK Ozd-Sajovolgye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ozd-Sajovolgye Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mateszalkai MTK scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Ozd-Sajovolgye has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mateszalkai MTK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mateszalkai MTK VS Ozd-Sajovolgye
1.38 Goals Scored 3.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mateszalkai MTK

(Home)
03 Oct
Tiszaujvaros
2 : 2
Mateszalkai MTK
26 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
2 : 1
Ozd-Sajovolgye
19 Sept
Eger
0 : 3
Mateszalkai MTK
12 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
1 : 3
Kozarmisleny SE
05 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
1 : 1
Debreceni EAC
Page 1 of 6

Ozd-Sajovolgye

(Away)
03 Oct
Ozd-Sajovolgye
9 : 0
Hajdunanas
26 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
2 : 1
Ozd-Sajovolgye
19 Sept
Ozd-Sajovolgye
2 : 0
Godollo
13 Sept
Emodi
0 : 5
Ozd-Sajovolgye
06 Sept
Kisvarda FC II
2 : 3
Ozd-Sajovolgye
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ozd-Sajovolgye 10 8 0 2 32:8 24
2 Cigand SE 10 7 2 1 24:9 23
3 Debreceni EAC 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
4 Kisvarda FC II 10 4 5 1 15:11 17
5 Debrecen II 10 5 1 4 25:21 16
6 Godollo 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
7 Eger 10 5 1 4 12:21 16
8 DVTK II 10 4 4 2 18:14 16
9 Mateszalkai MTK 10 4 4 2 17:14 16
10 Fuzesabony 10 5 0 5 10:11 15
11 Tiszaujvaros 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Hajdunanas 10 3 1 6 17:27 10
13 Salgotarjani BTC 10 3 0 7 7:15 9
14 Tiszafuredi 10 3 0 7 6:15 9
15 Tarpa 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
16 Nyiregyhaza II 10 1 0 9 10:26 3
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)