Sport Picks
Mathare United vs Mahia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kenya
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Mathare United host Mahia in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Mathare United have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Mahia's 1.35 scored and 0.92 conceded. Past meetings favor Mahia slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 0.44, favoring Mahia. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Mahia lately — more wins on the board than Mathare United.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Mahia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mathare United | Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 26 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mathare United found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Mathare United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Mahia conceded in 58% of 26 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mathare United
(Home)Mahia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 12 |
| 2 | KCB | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Muranga | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Mara Sugar | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Leopards | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 6 | APS Bomet | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 7 | Shabana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3K FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 9 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 10 | Posta Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 11 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 12 | Nairobi United | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Bandari | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Migori | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 15 | Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
