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Matlock vs Blyth Spartans Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

NPL Premier Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gibson M.
89' Event
Gibson M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Matlock in this NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matlock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Matlock
15%
Draws
32%
Blyth Spartans
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matlock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Matlock lately — more wins on the board than Blyth Spartans.
  • Model gives Matlock a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Matlock Clean Sheet 18%
Blyth Spartans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matlock Blyth Spartans
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.8 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Matlock vs Blyth Spartans
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Blyth Spartans vs Matlock
0:4
Jan 28, 2017 NPL Premier Division
Blyth Spartans vs Matlock
4:1
Oct 11, 2016 NPL Premier Division
Matlock vs Blyth Spartans
0:0
Apr 16, 2016 NPL Premier Division
Matlock vs Blyth Spartans
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matlock Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Blyth Spartans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matlock 76 / 100
Blyth Spartans 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matlock Blyth Spartans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matlock Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matlock found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Blyth Spartans has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Matlock has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Matlock VS Blyth Spartans
2 Goals Scored 1.67
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Matlock

(Home)
26 Sept
Matlock
0 : 4
Kettering
12 Sept
Matlock
5 : 1
Nuneaton
29 Aug
Lichfield City
0 : 5
Matlock
25 Jul
Carlton Town
1 : 4
Matlock
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

Blyth Spartans

(Away)
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2
Blyth Spartans
12 Sept
Wythenshawe FC
0 : 4
Blyth Spartans
05 Sept
Redcar Town
1 : 0
Blyth Spartans
29 Aug
Blyth Spartans
2 : 0
1874 Northwich
01 Aug
Blyth Spartans
2 : 4
Hebburn Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 42 35 4 3 109:30 109
2 Worksop 42 26 5 11 96:51 83
3 Stockton 42 23 6 13 66:47 75
4 Guiseley 42 20 14 8 67:45 74
5 Ashton United 42 20 9 13 72:58 69
6 Ilkeston 42 18 12 12 69:56 66
7 Gainsborough 42 18 10 14 58:53 64
8 Morpeth 42 16 14 12 57:61 62
9 Hyde 42 14 15 13 59:63 57
10 Prescot Cables 42 16 9 17 49:54 57
11 Warrington Rylands 42 14 14 14 60:53 56
12 Workington 42 15 7 20 61:65 52
13 Bamber Bridge 42 15 7 20 65:70 52
14 Hebburn Town 42 13 13 16 60:65 52
15 Leek Town 42 14 10 18 47:55 52
16 Whitby 42 15 7 20 55:71 52
17 United of Manchester 42 12 15 15 55:62 51
18 Lancaster 42 12 15 15 52:63 51
19 Matlock 42 10 15 17 59:69 42
20 Mickleover 42 10 9 23 41:75 39
21 Basford Utd. 42 10 7 25 50:79 37
22 Blyth Spartans 42 3 9 30 38:100 18
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)