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Matlock vs Buxton

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Trueman W.
22' Event
Brennan L.
59' Event
Sault B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Matlock and Buxton finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buxton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Matlock
15%
Draws
46%
Buxton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Buxton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Matlock's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Buxton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Matlock Clean Sheet 20%
Buxton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matlock Buxton
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 20
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.85 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Matlock vs Buxton
1:4
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Buxton vs Matlock
1:0
Jul 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Matlock vs Buxton
1:0
Jul 8, 2022 Club Friendly
Buxton vs Matlock
1:0
Apr 18, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Buxton vs Matlock
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matlock Compare

Top Goalscorer Sault B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Buxton Compare

Top Goalscorer Trueman W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brennan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matlock 49 / 100
Buxton 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matlock Buxton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matlock Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matlock scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Buxton has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Matlock went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matlock VS Buxton
3.2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 50%
80% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Matlock

(Home)
12 Sept
Matlock
5 : 1
Nuneaton
29 Aug
Lichfield City
0 : 5
Matlock
25 Jul
Carlton Town
1 : 4
Matlock
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
14 Jul
Matlock
1 : 3
Quorn
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Buxton

(Away)
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0
Buxton
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1
Merthyr Town
28 Aug
Oxford City
2 : 3
Buxton
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