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Matlock vs Buxton

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Trueman W.
22' Event
Brennan L.
59' Event
Sault B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Matlock and Buxton finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buxton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Matlock
17%
Draws
70%
Buxton
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Buxton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Buxton's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Buxton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Matlock Clean Sheet 12%
Buxton Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matlock Buxton
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Matlock vs Buxton
1:4
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Buxton vs Matlock
1:0
Jul 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Matlock vs Buxton
1:0
Jul 8, 2022 Club Friendly
Buxton vs Matlock
1:0
Apr 18, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Buxton vs Matlock
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matlock Compare

Top Goalscorer Sault B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Buxton Compare

Top Goalscorer Trueman W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brennan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matlock 14 / 100
Buxton 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matlock Buxton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matlock scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Buxton has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Matlock went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matlock VS Buxton
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Matlock

(Home)
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
14 Jul
Matlock
1 : 3
Quorn
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2
Barnsley
27 Sept
Hyde
1 : 0
Matlock
20 Sept
Matlock
1 : 2
Basford Utd.
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Buxton

(Away)
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0
Scunthorpe
10 Jul
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
07 Jul
Buxton
1 : 3
Braga
02 May
South Shields
1 : 0
Buxton
28 Apr
Buxton
4 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
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