Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Matlock vs Hinckley

England England

FA Trophy 2013/2014
Sat, Oct 19, 2013
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy 2013/2014. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Matlock at 1.86 goals for, 1.38 against; Hinckley at 1.67 for, 2.67 against. Past meetings favor Hinckley slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 19, 2013, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.48 - 1.38) back Matlock to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Matlock
15%
Draws
28%
Hinckley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matlock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hinckley haven't matched Matlock's recent run of results.
  • Matlock are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Matlock have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hinckley, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Matlock Clean Sheet 17%
Hinckley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matlock Hinckley
Matches Played 29 3
Wins 10 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.86 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2013 FA Trophy
Matlock vs Hinckley
0:0
Oct 1, 2011 FA Cup
Matlock vs Hinckley
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matlock 84 / 100
Hinckley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matlock Hinckley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matlock Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Matlock scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Hinckley has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Matlock has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Matlock VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matlock

(Home)
12 Sept
Matlock
5 : 1
Nuneaton
29 Aug
Lichfield City
0 : 5
Matlock
25 Jul
Carlton Town
1 : 4
Matlock
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
14 Jul
Matlock
1 : 3
Quorn
Page 1 of 6

Hinckley

(Away)
02 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Hinckley
26 Sept
Chasetown
5 : 2
Hinckley
12 Sept
Hinckley
2 : 1
Redditch

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Witton Albion -
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United of Manchester -
Evesham 3
Market Drayton 1
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Leek Town -
Mickleover -
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Loughborough Dynamo 0
Belper Town 2
Banbury -
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Stourbridge -
Rushall -
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Barwell -
Kendal 3
Farsley 2
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AFC Fylde -
Blyth Spartans -
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Skelmersdale -
Worksop -
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Warrington Town 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Coalville Town 5
Stratford 3
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Stafford -
Burscough 5
Goole 1
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Marine -
Scarborough Athletic 1
Prescot Cables 0
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Stocksbridge -
King’s Lynn -
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Cambridge City -
Redditch -
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Rugby 1
Chasetown 2
Frickley -
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Bamber Bridge 1
Brigg Town 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Bedworth United 1
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Stamford -
Cammell Laird 2
Lincoln Utd. 1
Ossett Albion 1
Curzon Ashton 3
Northwich Victoria 3
Salford 1
Clitheroe 3
Radcliffe 6
Lancaster 6
New Mills 0
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Mossley AFC -
Matlock -
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Hinckley -
Halesowen 3
Eastwood 0
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Neots -
Gresley 4
Carlton Town 2
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Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
Wakefield 2
Harrogate Railway 1
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Trafford -
Sheffield FC 2
Padiham 1
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Ashton United -
Darlington FC 6
Ossett Town 1
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Buxton -
St Ives Town 1
Rainworth 0
Romulus 2
Kettering 3
Droylsden -
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Nantwich -
Soham 1
Newcastle Town 0
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Grantham Town -
Whitby -
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Chorley -
Carshalton -
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Redhill 1
Burnham Ramblers 3
Cirencester 8
Didcot 2
Ashford Town 2
Egham Town 3
Chesham -
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Biggleswade Town -
Bridgwater United 5
Chalfont St Peter 4
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Weymouth -
Folkestone 6
Walthamstow FC 0
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Kingstonian -
Bashley -
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Hungerford -
St. Albans -
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Ware 3
FC Witham Town 5
Guernsey FC 6
Barkingside 0
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Billericay -
Arlesey -
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Walton & Hersham 1
Waltham Abbey 2
Poole Town -
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Frome Town -
Ramsgate -
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Faversham 2
Aylesbury United 4
Cheshunt -
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Royston Town 1
Three Bridges 3
Enfield Town -
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Lowestoft -
Herne Bay 2
Merstham 0
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Grays -
Hastings 3
Brentwood 2
Chipstead 1
Horsham FC 4
Crawley Down Gatwick 2
Walton Casuals 1
Worthing FC 0
Sudbury 2
Wingate & Finchley -
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Hitchin -
Corby -
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Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Daventry 1
Wealdstone -
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Leiston -
Maldon & Tiptree -
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Maidstone -
Merthyr Town 2
Yate 1
Godalming Town 1
Slough Town 2
Peacehaven & Telscombe 3
Barton 0
Erith & Belvedere 1
Dunstable Town 4
Hampton & Richmond -
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Bedford -
Thamesmead -
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Metropolitan Police -
Marlow 5
Wimborne 3
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North Leigh -
Paulton Rovers 4
Bishops Cleeve 1
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Burnham FC -
Dulwich Hamlet -
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Harrow Borough -
Lewes -
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Harlow 0
Leatherhead 4
Margate -
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Burgess Hill 3
Wroxham 4
AFC Totton -
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Fleet Town 0
Clevedon 3
Bury Town -
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Dereham -
AFC Hayes 3
Northwood 2
Redbridge 2
Chatham 3
Hemel Hempstead -
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Hornchurch -
Aylesbury Vale 4
VCD Athletic 3
Leighton Town 0
North Greenford Utd. 3
Bognor Regis -
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Corinthian-Casuals 0
Thurrock 2
Chertsey Town 4
Guildford City 3
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Chippenham Town -
Canvey Island -
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Uxbridge 1
Heybridge 2
Eastbourne Town 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
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East Thurrock Utd -
Tiverton 1
Cinderford Town 0
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Truro -
Shortwood 3
Beaconsfield Town 1
Thatcham 1
Mangotsfield 3
Hythe 2
Aveley 1
Needham Market 0
Tilbury 3
Potters 2
Romford 0
Sittingbourne 1
Whitstable Town 5
Hendon -
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Cray Wanderers -
Swindon Supermarine 3
Taunton Town 0
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Bideford -
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Semi-finals
Witton Albion 4
United of Manchester 3
Evesham 0
Leek Town 2
Mickleover 3
Belper Town 2
Banbury 2
Stourbridge 3
Rushall 4
Barwell 0
Kendal 2
AFC Fylde 3
Blyth Spartans 6
Skelmersdale 0
Worksop 2
Ramsbottom Utd 7
Coalville Town 3
Stafford 2
Burscough 1
Marine 2
Scarborough Athletic 4
Stocksbridge 3
King’s Lynn 1
Cambridge City 2
Redditch 2
Chasetown 0
Frickley 1
Brigg Town 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Stamford 1
Cammell Laird 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Radcliffe 0
Lancaster 2
Mossley AFC 3
Matlock -
Hinckley -
Halesowen 1
Neots 3
Gresley 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Wakefield 1
Trafford 6
Sheffield FC 3
Ashton United 0
Darlington FC 4
Buxton 5
St Ives Town 1
Kettering 0
Droylsden 0
Nantwich 3
Soham 6
Grantham Town 3
Whitby 0
Chorley 1
Carshalton 1
Burnham Ramblers 0
Cirencester 2
Egham Town 3
Chesham 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Bridgwater United 0
Weymouth 1
Folkestone 2
Kingstonian 0
Bashley 2
Hungerford 4
St. Albans 3
FC Witham Town 0
Guernsey FC 1
Billericay 2
Arlesey 3
Waltham Abbey 0
Poole Town 4
Frome Town 2
Ramsgate 1
Aylesbury United 0
Cheshunt 3
Three Bridges 4
Enfield Town 2
Lowestoft 1
Herne Bay 2
Grays 3
Hastings 4
Horsham FC 2
Crawley Down Gatwick 0
Sudbury 5
Wingate & Finchley 3
Hitchin 2
Corby 1
Daventry 2
Wealdstone 3
Leiston 0
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Maidstone 3
Merthyr Town 2
Slough Town 1
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Dunstable Town 3
Hampton & Richmond 3
Bedford 1
Thamesmead 1
Metropolitan Police 2
Marlow 4
North Leigh 1
Paulton Rovers 1
Burnham FC 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Harrow Borough 1
Lewes 1
Leatherhead 2
Margate 9
Wroxham 4
AFC Totton 1
Clevedon 2
Bury Town 2
Dereham 0
AFC Hayes 0
Chatham 2
Hemel Hempstead 3
Hornchurch 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
North Greenford Utd. 2
Bognor Regis 2
Thurrock 1
Chertsey Town 0
Chippenham Town 3
Canvey Island 2
Heybridge 1
Eastbourne Town 2
East Thurrock Utd 6
Tiverton 3
Truro 2
Shortwood 0
Mangotsfield 2
Hythe 3
Tilbury 1
Potters 3
Whitstable Town 4
Hendon 4
Cray Wanderers 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
Bideford 3
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Final
Witton Albion 1
Leek Town 2
Mickleover 1
Stourbridge 2
Rushall 0
AFC Fylde 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Coalville Town 5
Marine 0
Scarborough Athletic 2
Cambridge City 1
Redditch 5
Brigg Town 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Curzon Ashton 4
Northwich Victoria 2
Mossley AFC 0
Matlock 2
Neots 0
Gresley 2
Trafford 0
Sheffield FC 1
Buxton 0
St Ives Town 1
Nantwich 4
Soham 1
Chorley 2
Carshalton 2
Egham Town 1
Chesham 2
Weymouth 1
Folkestone 2
Hungerford 3
St. Albans 6
Billericay 5
Arlesey 3
Poole Town 2
Ramsgate 4
Three Bridges 1
Enfield Town 0
Grays 1
Hastings 0
Sudbury 1
Wingate & Finchley 2
Daventry 4
Wealdstone 2
Maidstone 3
Merthyr Town 3
Dunstable Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Marlow 2
Burnham FC 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Leatherhead 0
Margate 4
Clevedon 1
Bury Town 2
Chatham 1
Hemel Hempstead 9
North Greenford Utd. 1
Bognor Regis 4
Chippenham Town 1
Canvey Island 0
East Thurrock Utd 2
Tiverton 3
Mangotsfield 1
Hythe 3
Whitstable Town 4
Hendon 1
Bideford 0
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