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Matonense vs Americo EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
Matonense Logo

Matonense

0 - 5
FT
Americo EC Logo

Americo EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2011 game between Matonense and Americo EC finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Americo EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Matonense
35%
Draws
19%
Americo EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Matonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Americo EC have managed 1.37 goals a game lately — Matonense are scoring more at 1.43.
  • Win probability leans Matonense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Matonense Clean Sheet 12%
Americo EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matonense Americo EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 3 12
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2011 Paulista A4
Matonense vs Americo EC
0:5
May 1, 2011 Paulista A4
Americo EC vs Matonense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matonense 83 / 100
Americo EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matonense Americo EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Americo EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Matonense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Matonense found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Matonense VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matonense

(Home)
18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1
Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1
Mogi Mirim
Page 1 of 6

Americo EC

(Away)
18 Aug
Americo EC
2 : 2
Tupa
14 Aug
Cotia
3 : 2
Americo EC
10 Aug
Lemense
1 : 1
Americo EC
03 Aug
Americo EC
1 : 3
Lemense
31 Jul
Americo EC
1 : 1
Cotia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 12 5 5 2 17:14 20
2 Bandeirante 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
3 Fernandopolis 12 5 4 3 14:7 19
4 Tupa 12 4 5 3 12:13 17
5 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 3 5 4 13:12 14
6 Tanabi 12 2 5 5 8:13 11
7 Assisense 12 3 1 8 9:21 10
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barretos EC 12 7 5 0 25:12 26
2 Guariba 12 6 4 2 23:11 22
3 Ole Brasil 12 7 0 5 20:17 21
4 Olimpia FC 12 5 3 4 19:12 18
5 Jaboticabal Atletico 12 5 3 4 26:22 18
6 Americo EC 12 2 1 9 21:31 7
7 Matonense 12 1 2 9 7:36 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 2 0 17:3 26
2 Palmeirinha SP 10 5 4 1 17:6 19
3 Guacuano 10 5 3 2 11:7 18
4 Brasilis 10 4 2 4 16:12 14
5 Sao Judas Tadeu 10 1 1 8 9:18 4
6 Lencoense 10 1 0 9 9:33 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo 14 9 1 4 26:16 28
2 Sumare 14 7 4 3 18:13 25
3 Cotia 14 6 5 3 27:23 23
4 Capivariano 14 5 6 3 30:20 21
5 Primavera EC 14 5 5 4 17:15 20
6 SKA Brasil 14 5 3 6 18:18 18
7 Lemense 14 4 2 8 16:30 14
8 Elosport 14 1 2 11 12:29 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarulhos 14 10 0 4 27:16 30
2 Jacarei (Inactive) 14 8 3 3 21:13 27
3 FC Primeira Camisa 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
4 ECUS SP 14 6 2 6 12:15 20
5 Uniao Suzano 14 5 4 5 21:18 19
6 Jacarei FC 14 5 3 6 14:18 18
7 Manthiqueira 14 2 4 8 10:22 10
8 Uniao Mogi 14 2 2 10 13:28 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 14 10 1 3 21:7 31
2 Sao Vicente 14 9 2 3 29:19 29
3 EC Sao Bernardo 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
4 Guaruja 14 7 2 5 19:16 23
5 Mauaense 14 6 4 4 27:17 22
6 Jabaquara 14 7 0 7 21:24 21
7 Nacional SP 14 1 2 11 16:32 5
8 Palestra 14 1 1 12 8:38 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)