Sport Picks

Matonense vs Fernandopolis Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil

Paulista A4 2021

Matonense

2 - 1

Fernandopolis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Matonense in this Paulista A4 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Matonense

20%

Draws

10%

Fernandopolis

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence

Fernandopolis have won more games recently than Matonense.
70% — that's where the model lands on Matonense taking it.
Regular Paulista A4 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Matonense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Matonense Clean Sheet 12%

Fernandopolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Matonense	Fernandopolis
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	8	9
Draws	3	2
Losses	20	21
Goals Scored	1.42	1.06
Goals Conceded	1.97	2.06
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2021 Paulista A4

Matonense vs Fernandopolis

2:1

Aug 25, 2021 Paulista A4

Fernandopolis vs Matonense

1:1

Mar 13, 2016 Paulista A3

Matonense vs Fernandopolis

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matonense 83 / 100

Fernandopolis 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Matonense Fernandopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matonense Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernandopolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Matonense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fernandopolis's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Matonense VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

2.5 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matonense

(Home)

18 Jul

Flamengo SP

3 : 1

Matonense

11 Jul

Matonense

0 : 1

Flamengo SP

04 Jul

Matonense

0 : 0

Assisense

27 Jun

Assisense

0 : 1

Matonense

20 Jun

Matonense

2 : 1

Mogi Mirim

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Fernandopolis

(Away)

22 Jun

Fernandopolis

3 : 4

Olimpia FC

15 Jun

Tupa

2 : 0

Fernandopolis

09 Jun

Fernandopolis

0 : 4

Inter de Bebedouro

02 Jun

Fernandopolis

0 : 0

AEA Aracatuba

25 May

Tanabi

4 : 1

Fernandopolis

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