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Matonense vs Flamengo SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Vinicius Molina
76'
Gabriel de Lima Alves Y.
76'
Gabriel de Lima Alves Y.

AI Match Summary

Flamengo SP in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Matonense
6%
Draws
4%
Flamengo SP
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Matonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Flamengo SP have won more games recently than Matonense.
  • Matonense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Matonense Clean Sheet 68%
Flamengo SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matonense Flamengo SP
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 3 10
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 3.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2019 Paulista A4
Matonense vs Flamengo SP
0:5
Jul 14, 2019 Paulista A4
Flamengo SP vs Matonense
1:1
Mar 22, 2017 Paulista A3
Matonense vs Flamengo SP
2:1
Apr 27, 2016 Paulista A3
Matonense vs Flamengo SP
4:1
Apr 13, 2016 Paulista A3
Flamengo SP vs Matonense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matonense Compare

Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Flamengo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Molina
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matonense 95 / 100
Flamengo SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matonense Flamengo SP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Matonense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Matonense found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Flamengo SP let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Matonense VS Flamengo SP
3.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Itaqua6
Paulinia FU1
Maua FC3
Uniao Mogi5
Independente SP4
Tupa0
Paulinense3
Sao Carlos0
Jose Bonifacio EC4
Manthiqueira1
America SP3
Santacruzense0
Flamengo SP2
Audax-SP1
Matonense1
Assisense0
Quarter-finals
Itaqua4
Uniao Mogi1
Independente SP0
Paulinense0
Jose Bonifacio EC0
America SP0
Flamengo SP1
Matonense0
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-