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Matrei vs SV Spittal

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2025/2026 game between Matrei and SV Spittal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Spittal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Matrei
28%
Draws
22%
SV Spittal
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Matrei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • SV Spittal haven't matched Matrei's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Matrei a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Matrei Clean Sheet 16%
SV Spittal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matrei SV Spittal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Karnten
Matrei vs SV Spittal
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 Karnten
SV Spittal vs Matrei
0:3
Jun 14, 2019 Karnten
Matrei vs SV Spittal
3:2
Nov 3, 2018 Karnten
SV Spittal vs Matrei
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matrei 48 / 100
SV Spittal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matrei SV Spittal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SV Spittal conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Matrei found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Matrei stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matrei VS SV Spittal
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%