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Matrei vs TSV Grafenstein

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2025/2026 game between Matrei and TSV Grafenstein finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Grafenstein.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Matrei
6%
Draws
90%
TSV Grafenstein
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TSV Grafenstein come out ahead of Matrei on wins alone.
  • TSV Grafenstein are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Matrei Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matrei TSV Grafenstein
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Karnten
Matrei vs TSV Grafenstein
1:3
Oct 11, 2025 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs Matrei
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matrei 10 / 100
TSV Grafenstein 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matrei TSV Grafenstein

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Grafenstein let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Matrei found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Matrei went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matrei VS TSV Grafenstein
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%