Sport Picks
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Azul Claro Numazu
Japan
J3 League 2025 Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto 
Match Events
24'
24'
Murakoshi K.
Assist: Higuchi D.
51'
51'
Hayashi M.
59'
59'
Sub
Mukai H. In: Akatsuka M.
Out: Mukai H.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League 2025 game between Matsumoto Yamaga and Azul Claro Numazu finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matsumoto Yamaga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Matsumoto Yamaga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Azul Claro Numazu haven't matched Matsumoto Yamaga's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Matsumoto Yamaga taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 68%
Azul Claro Numazu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matsumoto Yamaga | Azul Claro Numazu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2025 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Azul Claro Numazu
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 J3 League
Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 J3 League
Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0:1
Jun 16, 2024 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Azul Claro Numazu
4:0
Oct 22, 2023 J3 League
Azul Claro Numazu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matsumoto Yamaga Compare
Top Goalscorer Murakoshi K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hayashi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Azul Claro Numazu Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matsumoto Yamaga 50 / 100
Azul Claro Numazu 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matsumoto Yamaga Azul Claro Numazu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Matsumoto Yamaga scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Azul Claro Numazu has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Azul Claro Numazu lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Matsumoto Yamaga VS Azul Claro Numazu
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Matsumoto Yamaga
(Home) 06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2 Nara Club
31 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
24 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
3 : 4 Fukushima United
17 May
Iwaki
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
10 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2 Nara Club
24 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
3 : 4 Fukushima United
10 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Fujieda MYFC
03 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Kofu
29 Apr
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 2 Iwata
Page 1 of 3
Azul Claro Numazu
(Away) 15 Mar
Iwata
1 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
14 Dec
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 1 Reilac Shiga
07 Dec
Reilac Shiga
3 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
29 Nov
Kamatamare Sanuki
1 : 0 Azul Claro Numazu
23 Nov
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 3 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6
15 Mar
Iwata
1 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
07 Dec
Reilac Shiga
3 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
29 Nov
Kamatamare Sanuki
1 : 0 Azul Claro Numazu
09 Nov
Ryukyu
2 : 3 Azul Claro Numazu
25 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1 Azul Claro Numazu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tochigi City | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 69:37 | 77 |
| 2 | Vanraure | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 46:23 | 72 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 55:33 | 71 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 61:45 | 67 |
| 5 | Kagoshima United | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 53:45 | 59 |
| 7 | Tochigi SC | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 42:36 | 58 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 46:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Nara Club | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 50:46 | 56 |
| 10 | Fukushima United | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 60:67 | 56 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 44:49 | 51 |
| 12 | SC Sagamihara | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 38:50 | 50 |
| 13 | Gifu | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 52:60 | 47 |
| 14 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 56:59 | 46 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:50 | 43 |
| 16 | Ryukyu | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 41:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 41:57 | 38 |
| 18 | Kochi United | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40:60 | 38 |
| 19 | Nagano Parceiro | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29:57 | 35 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 40:57 | 28 |
Promotion - J2 League (Main)
Promotion - J3 League 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League 2025 (Relegation)