Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Kaneko S.
19'
19'
Tanioka M.
46'
46'
Sub
Takemoto Y. In: Yamashita Y.
Out: Takemoto Y.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Matsumoto Yamaga and Ehime finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ehime
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ehime come out ahead of Matsumoto Yamaga on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 12%
Ehime Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matsumoto Yamaga | Ehime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime
2:2
Jul 29, 2023 J3 League
Ehime vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:1
Jul 1, 2023 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime
1:1
Sep 3, 2022 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime
2:1
Jun 18, 2022 J3 League
Ehime vs Matsumoto Yamaga
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matsumoto Yamaga Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaneko S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Taguchi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Ehime Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanioka M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hino S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matsumoto Yamaga 30 / 100
Ehime 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matsumoto Yamaga Ehime
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Matsumoto Yamaga's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Ehime conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Matsumoto Yamaga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Matsumoto Yamaga VS Ehime
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Matsumoto Yamaga
(Home) 30 Aug
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Matsumoto Yamaga
22 Aug
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 : 2 Ehime
16 Aug
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 : 3 Reilac Shiga
08 Aug
Kochi United
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
25 Jul
Matsumoto Yamaga
3 : 0 Kofu
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 : 2 Ehime
16 Aug
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 : 3 Reilac Shiga
25 Jul
Matsumoto Yamaga
3 : 0 Kofu
06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2 Nara Club
24 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
3 : 4 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 3
Ehime
(Away) 30 Aug
Kanazawa
0 : 1 Ehime
26 Aug
V-Varen Nagasaki
3 : 2 Ehime
22 Aug
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 : 2 Ehime
19 Aug
Ehime
2 : 1 International Pacific Univesity
16 Aug
Ehime
4 : 0 Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Kanazawa
0 : 1 Ehime
26 Aug
V-Varen Nagasaki
3 : 2 Ehime
22 Aug
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 : 2 Ehime
06 Jun
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 0 Ehime
23 May
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Ehime
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gifu | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Ehime | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Kagoshima United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 5 | Gainare Tottori | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Nagano Parceiro | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 11 | Ryukyu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 14 | Nara Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Kochi United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 4 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 18 | Kanazawa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 3 |
| 19 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 20 | Fukushima United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 1 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
