Sport Picks
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto 
Match Events
4'
4'
Kaneko S.
19'
19'
Tanioka M.
46'
46'
Sub
Takemoto Y. In: Yamashita Y.
Out: Takemoto Y.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Matsumoto Yamaga and Ehime finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matsumoto Yamaga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ehime come out ahead of Matsumoto Yamaga on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Matsumoto Yamaga's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 68%
Ehime Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matsumoto Yamaga | Ehime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime
2:2
Jul 29, 2023 J3 League
Ehime vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:1
Jul 1, 2023 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime
1:1
Sep 3, 2022 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime
2:1
Jun 18, 2022 J3 League
Ehime vs Matsumoto Yamaga
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matsumoto Yamaga Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaneko S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Taguchi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Ehime Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanioka M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hino S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matsumoto Yamaga 95 / 100
Ehime 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matsumoto Yamaga Ehime
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matsumoto Yamaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Matsumoto Yamaga's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Ehime conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Ehime lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Matsumoto Yamaga VS Ehime
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Matsumoto Yamaga
(Home) 03 Nov
Kamatamare Sanuki
1 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
31 Oct
Fukushima United
1 : 3 Matsumoto Yamaga
25 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
21 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
18 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1 Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
21 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
14 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
11 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Kagoshima United
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 4
Ehime
(Away) 03 Nov
Kochi United
4 : 0 Ehime
31 Oct
Tochigi SC
2 : 0 Ehime
25 Oct
Ehime
2 : 4 Fukushima United
21 Oct
Ehime
2 : 1 Renofa Yamaguchi
17 Oct
Kagoshima United
4 : 2 Ehime
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Kochi United
4 : 0 Ehime
31 Oct
Tochigi SC
2 : 0 Ehime
17 Oct
Kagoshima United
4 : 2 Ehime
11 Oct
Kumamoto
0 : 2 Ehime
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1 Ehime
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:18 | 31 |
| 2 | Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28:21 | 29 |
| 3 | Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28:15 | 28 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Ehime | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:20 | 23 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 15 | Reilac Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:27 | 17 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27:32 | 15 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | 15 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 11 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:31 | 9 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
