Sport Picks
Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Osaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto 
Match Events
38'
38'
Morimura S.
57'
57'
Sub
Morimura S. In: Nagano S.
Out: Morimura S.
57'
57'
Sub
Isa K. In: Shimada T.
Out: Isa K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Matsumoto Yamaga lately — more wins on the board than FC Osaka.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 16%
FC Osaka Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matsumoto Yamaga | FC Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Osaka
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Osaka
1:1
May 25, 2025 Emperors Cup
Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Osaka
2:1
May 7, 2025 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0
Jul 14, 2024 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Osaka
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matsumoto Yamaga 31 / 100
FC Osaka 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matsumoto Yamaga FC Osaka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Osaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Osaka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Matsumoto Yamaga scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Matsumoto Yamaga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Matsumoto Yamaga VS FC Osaka
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Matsumoto Yamaga
(Home) 03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
09 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
4 : 3 Shonan Bellmare
05 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 0 FC Osaka
Page 1 of 4
FC Osaka
(Away) 09 Oct
FC Osaka
1 : 1 Kanazawa
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0 FC Osaka
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4 FC Osaka
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0 FC Osaka
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4 FC Osaka
05 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 0 FC Osaka
30 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 0 FC Osaka
26 Aug
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 FC Osaka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
