Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Brandao A. A.
(Penalty)
36'
36'
Pedro Ferreira
61'
61'
Guilherme Reis
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Paulista U20 2025 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Paulo U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sao Paulo U20 lately — more wins on the board than Maua FC U20.
- Sao Paulo U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Sao Paulo U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sao Paulo U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Maua FC U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maua FC U20 | Sao Paulo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 38 |
| Wins | 8 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2025 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Maua FC U20
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Paulista U20
Maua FC U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
2:2
Jun 28, 2025 Paulista U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Maua FC U20
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maua FC U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Nathan P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Sao Paulo U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Ferreira
1 Goals Assists Leader Guilherme Reis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maua FC U20 10 / 100
Sao Paulo U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maua FC U20 Sao Paulo U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Paulo U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 38 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Solid form: Maua FC U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Maua FC U20 scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Maua FC U20 VS Sao Paulo U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Maua FC U20
(Home) 17 Jul
Ituano U20
1 : 1 Maua FC U20
10 Jul
Guarani U20
2 : 1 Maua FC U20
03 Jul
Maua FC U20
2 : 1 Tanabi U20
26 Jun
Sfera U20
6 : 0 Maua FC U20
12 Jun
Maua FC U20
1 : 1 Agua Santa U20
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03 Jul
Maua FC U20
2 : 1 Tanabi U20
12 Jun
Maua FC U20
1 : 1 Agua Santa U20
29 May
Maua FC U20
0 : 0 Gremio Prudente U20
05 Sept
Maua FC U20
2 : 2 Sao Paulo U20
06 Aug
Maua FC U20
0 : 1 Guarani U20
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Sao Paulo U20
(Away) 18 Jul
Velo Clube U20
0 : 0 Sao Paulo U20
11 Jul
EC Sao Bernardo U20
1 : 3 Sao Paulo U20
04 Jul
Sao Paulo U20
0 : 0 Piracicaba U20
01 Jul
Santos U20
0 : 3 Sao Paulo U20
28 Jun
Sao Caetano U20
0 : 2 Sao Paulo U20
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18 Jul
Velo Clube U20
0 : 0 Sao Paulo U20
11 Jul
EC Sao Bernardo U20
1 : 3 Sao Paulo U20
01 Jul
Santos U20
0 : 3 Sao Paulo U20
28 Jun
Sao Caetano U20
0 : 2 Sao Paulo U20
17 Jun
EC Juventude U20
1 : 0 Sao Paulo U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Palmeiras U204
Sertaozinho U200
Portuguesa U201
Referencia U202
Bragantino U209
Itapirense U202
Novorizontino U201
Botafogo SP U205
EC Sao Bernardo U202
Internacional de Limeira U201
Uniao Suzano U205
XV de Jau U204
Santos U205
Portuguesa Santista U201
Corinthians U204
Piracicaba U201
Sao Paulo U204
Maua FC U202
Santo Andre U203
Osasco Sporting U206
Ibrachina U2010
Osasco Audax U200
Ferroviaria U206
Mirassol U204
Guarani U203
Desportivo U200
CA Juventus U200
Gremio Prudente U203
Ituano U204
Sao Caetano U200
Ponte Preta U201
Capivariano U200
1/8-finals
Palmeiras U205
Referencia U200
Bragantino U201
Botafogo SP U204
EC Sao Bernardo U203
Uniao Suzano U202
Santos U203
Corinthians U201
Sao Paulo U204
Osasco Sporting U202
Ibrachina U200
Ferroviaria U201
Guarani U205
Gremio Prudente U202
Ituano U202
Ponte Preta U203
Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U204
Botafogo SP U201
EC Sao Bernardo U201
Santos U207
Sao Paulo U202
Ferroviaria U200
Guarani U203
Ponte Preta U200
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U204
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204
Guarani U201
Final
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204