Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mauaense vs Colorado Caieiras

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colorado Caieiras in this Paulista A4 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colorado Caieiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mauaense
30%
Draws
23%
Colorado Caieiras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mauaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Colorado Caieiras at 1.06 per game, Mauaense at 1.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Mauaense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 20%
Colorado Caieiras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauaense Colorado Caieiras
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 13
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Paulista B
Mauaense vs Colorado Caieiras
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 Paulista B
Colorado Caieiras vs Mauaense
0:1
Jun 19, 2022 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Colorado Caieiras
0:2
May 15, 2022 Paulista A4
Colorado Caieiras vs Mauaense
2:2
Sep 18, 2021 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Colorado Caieiras
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauaense 85 / 100
Colorado Caieiras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauaense Colorado Caieiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauaense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mauaense's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Colorado Caieiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Colorado Caieiras's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mauaense VS Colorado Caieiras
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauaense

(Home)
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1
Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2
Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1
Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 7

Colorado Caieiras

(Away)
04 Apr
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 0
Penapolense
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 4
Sao Caetano
21 Mar
Nacional SP
4 : 1
Colorado Caieiras
18 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 2
ECUS SP
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penapolense 10 6 3 1 23:6 21
2 Inter de Bebedouro 10 6 3 1 18:6 21
3 Catanduva FC 10 6 2 2 25:11 20
4 Fernandopolis 10 2 2 6 11:22 8
5 America SP 10 2 2 6 14:24 8
6 Andradina Esporte Clube 10 2 0 8 12:34 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 10 7 3 0 17:4 24
2 AA Itarare 10 3 6 1 13:8 15
3 Osvaldo Cruz 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
4 Vocem 10 3 4 3 8:12 13
5 Assisense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Santacruzense 10 0 1 9 4:19 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taquaritinga 10 7 0 3 17:8 21
2 Sao-Carlense 10 6 2 2 17:5 20
3 XV de Jau 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Francana 10 3 4 3 8:8 13
5 Sao Carlos 10 2 4 4 6:14 10
6 Batatais 10 0 1 9 7:29 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapirense 10 7 2 1 20:10 23
2 Rio Branco SP 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
3 Paulista 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
4 Amparo SP 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
5 Independente SP 10 3 2 5 8:9 11
6 Uniao Sao Joao 10 0 1 9 3:27 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manthiqueira 10 6 2 2 26:12 20
2 Jacarei FC 10 6 1 3 25:6 19
3 Flamengo SP 10 5 4 1 18:11 19
4 Uniao Mogi 10 4 2 4 25:12 14
5 Guarulhos 10 2 4 4 11:18 10
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 1 9 5:51 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maua FC 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
2 SKA Brasil 10 5 2 3 19:8 17
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 4 5 1 16:10 17
4 Jabaquara 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
5 Mauaense 10 2 4 4 11:16 10
6 ECUS SP 10 1 1 8 12:27 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams