Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2023

Mauaense

1 - 1

Tanabi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Mauaense

30%

Draws

23%

Tanabi

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mauaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Tanabi lately — more wins on the board than Mauaense.
42% — that's where the model lands on Mauaense taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%

Mauaense Clean Sheet 20%

Tanabi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mauaense	Tanabi
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	15
Draws	12	9
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1.13	1
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Paulista B

Tanabi vs Mauaense

0:0

Jul 12, 2025 Paulista B

Mauaense vs Tanabi

0:0

Jul 15, 2023 Paulista A4

Tanabi vs Mauaense

1:0

Jul 8, 2023 Paulista A4

Mauaense vs Tanabi

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauaense 42 / 100

Tanabi 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mauaense Tanabi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mauaense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Tanabi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tanabi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 30% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mauaense VS Tanabi

1.13 Goals Scored 1

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauaense

(Home)

20 Jun

Manthiqueira

2 : 1

Mauaense

13 Jun

Mauaense

0 : 1

Uniao Mogi

06 Jun

Barcelona SP

0 : 2

Mauaense

30 May

Maua FC

1 : 1

Mauaense

23 May

Mauaense

1 : 2

Itaqua

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Tanabi

(Away)

04 Apr

Comercial

2 : 1

Tanabi

28 Mar

Tanabi

0 : 0

Colorado Caieiras

25 Mar

Taquaritinga

2 : 1

Tanabi

21 Mar

Inter de Bebedouro

0 : 0

Tanabi

18 Mar

Tanabi

1 : 2

Sao Caetano

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