Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mauritania U23 vs Togo U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mauritania U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mauritania U23
15%
Draws
0%
Togo U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mauritania U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mauritania U23 lately — more wins on the board than Togo U23.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Mauritania U23 taking it.
  • Mauritania U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mauritania U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Mauritania U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Togo U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritania U23 Togo U23
Matches Played 6 10
Wins 3 1
Draws 1 2
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 0.83 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Togo U23 vs Mauritania U23
2:0
Sep 24, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mauritania U23 vs Togo U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritania U23 49 / 100
Togo U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritania U23 Togo U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Togo U23 conceded in 80% of 10 recent games.

Difficult form: Togo U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Mauritania U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mauritania U23 VS Togo U23
0.71 Goals Scored 0.88
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.63
43% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritania U23

(Home)
09 Jun
Algeria U23
1 : 3
Mauritania U23
05 Jun
Algeria U23
2 : 0
Mauritania U23
27 Sept
Togo U23
2 : 0
Mauritania U23
24 Sept
Mauritania U23
1 : 0
Togo U23
27 Mar
Mauritania U23
0 : 0
Algeria U23
Page 1 of 2

Togo U23

(Away)
24 Sept
Togo U23
0 : 2
Benin U23
30 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 1
Togo U23
27 Jan
Togo U23
2 : 3
Iraq U23
27 Mar
Togo U23
0 : 3
Ivory Coast U23
24 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 0
Togo U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1