Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Lembrabott E. H.
Penalty Missed
64'
64'
Tetah E. M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Mauritania haven't matched Mali's recent run of results.
- Model gives Mauritania a 31% chance of winning this.
- Mali arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mauritania, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 20%
Mali Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mauritania | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.59 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 0.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 29, 2024 African Nations Championship
Mali vs Mauritania
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Mali
1:0
Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Mali
0:2
Jan 24, 2023 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Mali
1:0
Aug 18, 2022 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Mali
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mauritania Compare
Top Goalscorer Tetah E. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
Mali Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mauritania 40 / 100
Mali 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mauritania Mali
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mauritania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mauritania found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (27 games).
Mali has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Mauritania went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mauritania VS Mali
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mauritania
(Home) 08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1 Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1 Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1 Mauritania
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2 Kuwait
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0 Mauritania
Page 1 of 6
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2 Kuwait
09 Sept
Mauritania
0 : 0 South Sudan
05 Sept
Mauritania
2 : 0 Togo
13 Aug
Mauritania
1 : 0 Burkina Faso
06 Aug
Mauritania
0 : 1 Tanzania
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Mali
(Away) 04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0 Mali
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0 Mali
09 Jan
Mali
0 : 1 Senegal
03 Jan
Mali
2 : 1 Tunisia
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0 Mali
Page 1 of 6
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0 Mali
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0 Mali
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0 Mali
26 Dec
Morocco
1 : 1 Mali
18 Nov
Jordan
0 : 0 Mali
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
