Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Nouadhibou Municipal Stadium

South Sudan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mauritania play South Sudan in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mauritania averaged 0.59 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. South Sudan averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Mauritania won 1, South Sudan won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Sep 9, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Mauritania and 0.81 for South Sudan. This points to a Mauritania double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Mauritania

35%

Draws

29%

South Sudan

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mauritania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Mauritania picked up more points recently compared to South Sudan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 57%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%

Mauritania Clean Sheet 26%

South Sudan Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 51%

Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mauritania	South Sudan
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	11	8
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	0.59	0.9
Goals Conceded	0.96	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship

Mauritania vs South Sudan

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Nov 21, 2023 World Championship

South Sudan vs Mauritania

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Oct 13, 2015 World Championship

Mauritania vs South Sudan

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

4:0

Oct 8, 2015 World Championship

South Sudan vs Mauritania

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritania 38 / 100

South Sudan 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mauritania South Sudan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mauritania or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +22.1%

3.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mauritania attacking → ← attacking South Sudan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mauritania scored in 48% of their last 27 games.

South Sudan let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Mauritania went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

South Sudan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 29

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	10	8	2	0	20:2	26
2	Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	23:8	21
3	Sierra Leone	10	4	3	3	12:10	15
4	Guinea Bissau	10	2	4	4	8:10	10
5	Ethiopia	10	2	3	5	9:14	9
6	Djibouti	10	0	1	9	5:33	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	10	7	3	0	22:3	24
2	D.R. Congo	10	7	1	2	15:6	22
3	Sudan	10	3	4	3	8:6	13
4	Togo	10	1	5	4	5:10	8
5	Mauritania	10	1	4	5	4:13	7
6	South Sudan	10	0	5	5	3:19	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	10	5	3	2	15:9	18
2	Nigeria	10	4	5	1	15:8	17
3	Benin	10	5	2	3	12:11	17
4	Lesotho	10	3	3	4	9:12	12
5	Rwanda	10	3	2	5	5:9	11
6	Zimbabwe	10	0	5	5	5:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cape Verde	10	7	2	1	16:8	23
2	Cameroon	10	5	4	1	17:5	19
3	Libya	10	4	4	2	12:10	16
4	Angola	10	2	6	2	9:8	12
5	Mauritius	10	1	3	6	7:17	6
6	Eswatini	10	0	3	7	6:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	8	8	0	0	22:2	24
2	Niger	8	5	0	3	11:10	15
3	Tanzania	8	3	1	4	6:7	10
4	Zambia	8	3	0	5	10:10	9
5	Congo	8	0	1	7	4:24	1
6	Eritrea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ivory Coast	10	8	2	0	25:0	26
2	Gabon	10	8	1	1	22:9	25
3	Gambia	10	4	1	5	27:18	13
4	Kenya	10	3	3	4	18:14	12
5	Burundi	10	3	1	6	13:13	10
6	Seychelles	10	0	0	10	2:53	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	10	8	1	1	24:8	25
2	Uganda	10	6	0	4	14:9	18
3	Mozambique	10	6	0	4	14:17	18
4	Guinea	10	4	3	3	11:8	15
5	Botswana	10	3	1	6	12:16	10
6	Somalia	10	0	1	9	3:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tunisia	10	9	1	0	22:0	28
2	Namibia	10	4	3	3	13:10	15
3	Liberia	10	4	3	3	13:11	15
4	Malawi	10	4	1	5	11:10	13
5	Equatorial Guinea	10	3	2	5	8:15	11
6	Sao Tome and Principe	10	1	0	9	5:26	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ghana	10	8	1	1	23:6	25
2	Madagascar	10	6	1	3	17:12	19
3	Mali	10	5	3	2	17:6	18
4	Comoros	10	5	0	5	12:13	15
5	Central Africa	10	2	2	6	11:24	8
6	Chad	10	0	1	9	5:24	1