Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Cote d'Or National Sports Complex, St Pierre

Mauritius

2 - 1

Eswatini

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Gaspard M.

45'

Rose L.

Assist: Bru K.

46'

Sub

Matsebula B. In: Mavuso T.

Out: Matsebula B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mauritius in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mauritius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Mauritius

30%

Draws

23%

Eswatini

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mauritius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Eswatini average 0.72 goals a game right now, well clear of Mauritius's 0.54.
Model gives Mauritius a 47% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%

Mauritius Clean Sheet 68%

Eswatini Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mauritius	Eswatini
Matches Played	26	29
Wins	4	4
Draws	8	9
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	0.54	0.72
Goals Conceded	1.15	1.52
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 World Championship

Eswatini vs Mauritius

3:3

Jun 11, 2024 World Championship

Mauritius vs Eswatini

2:1

Jul 6, 2022 COSAFA Cup

Mauritius vs Eswatini

0:3

May 25, 2019 COSAFA Cup

Eswatini vs Mauritius

2:2

May 26, 2007 Friendly International

Eswatini vs Mauritius

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mauritius Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaspard M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rose L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Eswatini Compare

Top Goalscorer Magagula A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritius 68 / 100

Eswatini 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mauritius Eswatini

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritius Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Eswatini has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Eswatini lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Mauritius found the back of the net in 35% of recent matches (26 games).

Scoring Trends

Mauritius VS Eswatini

0.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 2

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritius

(Home)

31 Mar

Mauritius

0 : 1

Somalia

27 Mar

Somalia

0 : 0

Mauritius

13 Oct

Mauritius

0 : 0

Libya

08 Oct

Mauritius

0 : 2

Cameroon

09 Sept

Angola

3 : 1

Mauritius

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Eswatini

(Away)

31 Mar

Eswatini

1 : 2

Eritrea

25 Mar

Eritrea

2 : 0

Eswatini

13 Oct

Cape Verde

3 : 0

Eswatini

08 Oct

Eswatini

2 : 2

Angola

08 Sept

Libya

2 : 0

Eswatini

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