Sport Picks
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Lichinga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola Estádio do Maxaquene, Maputo 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviario Lichinga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ferroviario Lichinga lately — more wins on the board than Maxaquene.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Lichinga taking it.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 23%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maxaquene | Ferroviario Lichinga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 12, 2026 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Lichinga
0:0
Jun 29, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Maxaquene
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maxaquene 21 / 100
Ferroviario Lichinga 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maxaquene Ferroviario Lichinga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Lichinga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Maxaquene found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Ferroviario Lichinga conceded in 54% of 26 recent games.
Solid form: Maxaquene remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Maxaquene VS Ferroviario Lichinga
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Maxaquene
(Home) 12 Oct
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Ferroviario Lichinga
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0 Maxaquene
19 Sept
Chingale de Tete
1 : 0 Maxaquene
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Sofala
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Ferroviario Lichinga
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
10 Aug
Maxaquene
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
Page 1 of 4
Ferroviario Lichinga
(Away) 12 Oct
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Ferroviario Lichinga
09 Oct
Costa do Sol
2 : 0 Ferroviario Lichinga
16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Ferroviario Lichinga
09 Oct
Costa do Sol
2 : 0 Ferroviario Lichinga
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
17 Aug
Sofala
0 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 45 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:12 | 40 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 23:17 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Nampula | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23:21 | 34 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 22:16 | 31 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 29 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Nacala | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 13:14 | 26 |
| 9 | Baia de Pemba | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 11:14 | 22 |
| 10 | ENH Vilankulo | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21:19 | 21 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 10:20 | 20 |
| 12 | Sofala | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 7:19 | 15 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 8:24 | 11 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
