Sport Picks
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Nacala Prediction & H2H Stats
Mozambique
Mocambola Estádio do Maxaquene, Maputo 
AI Match Summary
Maxaquene in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maxaquene.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Nacala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ferroviario Nacala have won more games recently than Maxaquene.
- Ferroviario Nacala are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 30%
Ferroviario Nacala Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maxaquene | Ferroviario Nacala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Nacala
1:0
Oct 29, 2019 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Nacala
0:1
Jul 9, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Maxaquene
2:2
Jul 31, 2018 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Nacala
0:0
Apr 8, 2018 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Maxaquene
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maxaquene 22 / 100
Ferroviario Nacala 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maxaquene Ferroviario Nacala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Nacala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario Nacala's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Maxaquene scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Ferroviario Nacala has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Maxaquene VS Ferroviario Nacala
0.5 Goals Scored 0.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Maxaquene
(Home) 22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0 Maxaquene
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
21 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 0 Maxaquene
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
10 Aug
Maxaquene
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
07 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 1 Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 4
Ferroviario Nacala
(Away) 16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
17 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
21 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
10 Aug
Maxaquene
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
05 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 24:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 34 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 20:13 | 28 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 13:11 | 23 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Maxaquene | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 8:23 | 10 |
| 14 | Chingale de Tete | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 4:17 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
