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Mayabeque Guines vs FC Villa Clara

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Mayabeque Guines and FC Villa Clara finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mayabeque Guines
6%
Draws
90%
FC Villa Clara
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Villa Clara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mayabeque Guines haven't matched FC Villa Clara's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Villa Clara taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Mayabeque Guines Clean Sheet 14%
FC Villa Clara Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mayabeque Guines FC Villa Clara
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs Mayabeque Guines
3:0
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs FC Villa Clara
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs Mayabeque Guines
4:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs FC Villa Clara
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs FC Villa Clara
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mayabeque Guines 10 / 100
FC Villa Clara 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mayabeque Guines FC Villa Clara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Villa Clara conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Mayabeque Guines scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

Mayabeque Guines went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mayabeque Guines VS FC Villa Clara
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228