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Mayo FC vs Letterkenny Rovers Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

National League
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mayo FC host Letterkenny Rovers in the National League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Mayo FC have averaged 0.75 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Letterkenny Rovers's 1.31 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Letterkenny Rovers slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.11 vs 1.05, favoring Letterkenny Rovers. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mayo FC
15%
Draws
55%
Letterkenny Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Letterkenny Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Letterkenny Rovers come out ahead of Mayo FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Letterkenny Rovers a 55% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mayo FC Clean Sheet 20%
Letterkenny Rovers Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mayo FC Letterkenny Rovers
Matches Played 4 13
Wins 1 4
Draws 0 3
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.31
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.11 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League
Letterkenny Rovers vs Mayo FC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mayo FC 28 / 100
Letterkenny Rovers 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mayo FC Letterkenny Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Letterkenny Rovers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Letterkenny Rovers let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mayo FC scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Mayo FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mayo FC VS Letterkenny Rovers
0.6 Goals Scored 0.5
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.63
60% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mayo FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Salthill
2 : 0
Mayo FC
12 Sept
Mayo FC
2 : 3
TU Dublin
05 Sept
Letterkenny Rovers
3 : 0
Mayo FC
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0
St Francis

Letterkenny Rovers

(Away)
26 Sept
Letterkenny Rovers
6 : 3
TU Dublin
12 Sept
St Francis
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
05 Sept
Letterkenny Rovers
3 : 0
Mayo FC
29 Aug
Salthill
4 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
11 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 2
Letterkenny Rovers
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 4 3 1 0 14:3 10
2 Mervue United 5 2 2 1 6:9 8
3 Lucan Utd 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Bonagee 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Letterkenny Rovers 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
2 Salthill 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
3 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 TU Dublin 4 1 2 1 9:11 5
5 Mayo FC 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 4 3 1 0 16:6 10
2 CK United FC 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 University College Cork 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Killarney Celtic 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
5 Newbridge Town 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams