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Mayo FC vs Salthill - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mayo FC host Salthill in the National League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Mayo FC at 1 goals for, 1.8 against; Salthill at 1.07 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor Salthill slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 0.96, favoring Salthill. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mayo FC
20%
Draws
46%
Salthill
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salthill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Salthill carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Salthill taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mayo FC Clean Sheet 20%
Salthill Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mayo FC Salthill
Matches Played 5 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 4
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National League
Salthill vs Mayo FC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mayo FC 20 / 100
Salthill 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mayo FC Salthill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salthill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Salthill conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Mayo FC scored in 60% of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Mayo FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mayo FC VS Salthill
0.71 Goals Scored 0.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.88
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mayo FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Mayo FC
2 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
19 Sept
Salthill
2 : 0
Mayo FC
12 Sept
Mayo FC
2 : 3
TU Dublin
05 Sept
Letterkenny Rovers
3 : 0
Mayo FC
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0
St Francis

Salthill

(Away)
03 Oct
TU Dublin
1 : 1
Salthill
26 Sept
St Francis
4 : 1
Salthill
19 Sept
Salthill
2 : 0
Mayo FC
06 Sept
TU Dublin
2 : 2
Salthill
29 Aug
Salthill
4 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 5 4 1 0 20:6 13
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams