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Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Vatani Stadium, Qa'em Shahr
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Arasteh A.
11'
Sub
Rezaei M. In: Karami A.
Out: Rezaei M.
27' Event
Mohammadi R.
Assist: Mohkamkar A.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Mazandaran and Shams Azar Qazvin finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shams Azar Qazvin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mazandaran
35%
Draws
25%
Shams Azar Qazvin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazandaran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mazandaran carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mazandaran a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 20%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazandaran Shams Azar Qazvin
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 15 5
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.16 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0:2
Feb 28, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:0
Sep 26, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mazandaran
0:0
Mar 13, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:0
Dec 14, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mazandaran
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazandaran Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shams Azar Qazvin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammadi R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazandaran 42 / 100
Shams Azar Qazvin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazandaran Shams Azar Qazvin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mazandaran scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Mazandaran remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Shams Azar Qazvin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mazandaran VS Shams Azar Qazvin
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazandaran

(Home)
08 Oct
Mazandaran
1 : 1
Zob Ahan
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 7

Shams Azar Qazvin

(Away)
10 Oct
Paykan
1 : 1
Shams Azar Qazvin
10 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 3
Gol Gohar
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
01 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0
Tractor
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Paykan 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
9 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
10 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Shams Azar Qazvin 8 1 3 4 7:10 6
16 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)