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Mazarron FC vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Bertomeu F.
39' Event
Martinez F.
83' Event
Rodriguez A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Mazarron FC and Santa Cruz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Mazarron FC
35%
Draws
58%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Santa Cruz are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mazarron FC Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazarron FC Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Santa Cruz
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Mazarron FC
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Santa Cruz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazarron FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertomeu F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazarron FC 11 / 100
Santa Cruz 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazarron FC Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mazarron FC scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Mazarron FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazarron FC VS Santa Cruz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazarron FC

(Home)
11 Oct
UCAM Murcia B
5 : 1
Mazarron FC
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz

(Away)
10 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Cotillas CD
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 UCAM Murcia B 6 2 2 2 13:7 8
7 Aguilas FC B 6 1 5 0 7:5 8
8 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
9 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
10 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
12 Minerva 6 2 2 2 3:4 8
13 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 6 0 1 5 6:14 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)