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Mazarron FC vs UD Los Garres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazarron FC host UD Los Garres in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. This has Mazarron FC written all over it on paper. UD Los Garres have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Mazarron FC have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.57. Past meetings favor Mazarron FC slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2022, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.19) point toward Mazarron FC. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Mazarron FC
30%
Draws
58%
UD Los Garres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Los Garres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mazarron FC come out ahead of UD Los Garres on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mazarron FC Clean Sheet 20%
UD Los Garres Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazarron FC UD Los Garres
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 3
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.57 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Mazarron FC
0:2
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs UD Los Garres
1:0
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs UD Los Garres
1:2
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Mazarron FC
3:2
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Mazarron FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazarron FC 32 / 100
UD Los Garres 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazarron FC UD Los Garres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazarron FC's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UD Los Garres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Mazarron FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mazarron FC VS UD Los Garres
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazarron FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2
Cotillas CD
Page 1 of 6

UD Los Garres

(Away)
04 Oct
San Javier
1 : 0
UD Los Garres
27 Sept
UD Los Garres
0 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
06 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 1
UD Los Garres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)