Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mazatlan FC U21 vs Cruz Azul U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Estrada J.
76'
Meza J.
90'
Ramirez D.

AI Match Summary

Mazatlan FC U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazatlan FC U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mazatlan FC U21
15%
Draws
57%
Cruz Azul U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruz Azul U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruz Azul U21 have won more games recently than Mazatlan FC U21.
  • Win probability leans Cruz Azul U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mazatlan FC U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazatlan FC U21 Cruz Azul U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 0 4
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.95
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Liga MX U21
Mazatlan FC U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Mazatlan FC U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazatlan FC U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cruz Azul U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.77
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazatlan FC U21 10 / 100
Cruz Azul U21 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazatlan FC U21 Cruz Azul U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Cruz Azul U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mazatlan FC U21 found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Mazatlan FC U21 VS Cruz Azul U21
0.4 Goals Scored 1.5
2.4 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazatlan FC U21

(Home)
25 Apr
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 0
Mazatlan FC U21
22 Apr
Mazatlan FC U21
2 : 1
Toluca U21
17 Apr
Mazatlan FC U21
0 : 4
Queretaro U21
12 Apr
UNAM Pumas U21
4 : 0
Mazatlan FC U21
03 Apr
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Mazatlan FC U21
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
12 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2
Club America U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0
Santos Laguna U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
22 Aug
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 2
Atlas U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)