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Mazatlan FC vs Monterrey

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio El Encanto
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Corona J.
Assist: Canales S.
17'
Rodriguez J.
21' Event
Rodriguez J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Mazatlan FC and Monterrey finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mazatlan FC
33%
Draws
40%
Monterrey
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Monterrey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monterrey come out ahead of Mazatlan FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Monterrey's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Mazatlan FC Clean Sheet 11%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazatlan FC Monterrey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.43 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Monterrey
1:5
Aug 18, 2025 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Mazatlan FC
3:2
Feb 26, 2025 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Monterrey
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Mazatlan FC
0:0
Mar 11, 2024 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Mazatlan FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazatlan FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sierra J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Monterrey Compare

Top Goalscorer Corona J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazatlan FC 27 / 100
Monterrey 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazatlan FC Monterrey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mazatlan FC scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Monterrey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mazatlan FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazatlan FC VS Monterrey
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
2.43 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812