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Mazatlan FC W vs Juarez W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlan
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sanchez Stickel E. R.
42' Event
Lawal T.
65'
Sub
Espinoza G. In: Abud K.
Out: Espinoza G.

AI Match Summary

Mazatlan FC W in this Liga MX Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazatlan FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mazatlan FC W
39%
Draws
30%
Juarez W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juarez W lately — more wins on the board than Mazatlan FC W.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga MX Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Mazatlan FC W Clean Sheet 15%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazatlan FC W Juarez W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2026 Liga MX Women
Mazatlan FC W vs Juarez W
3:2
Aug 26, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Mazatlan FC W
2:1
Feb 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Mazatlan FC W
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 Liga MX Women
Mazatlan FC W vs Juarez W
0:6
Feb 9, 2024 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Mazatlan FC W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazatlan FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawal T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Juarez W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez Stickel E. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asantewaa G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazatlan FC W 31 / 100
Juarez W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazatlan FC W Juarez W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Juarez W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Mazatlan FC W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Juarez W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mazatlan FC W VS Juarez W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazatlan FC W

(Home)
25 Apr
Club Tijuana W
2 : 0
Mazatlan FC W
06 Apr
Mazatlan FC W
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
03 Apr
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Mazatlan FC W
28 Mar
Mazatlan FC W
2 : 3
Toluca W
21 Mar
Cruz Azul W
1 : 0
Mazatlan FC W
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Juarez W

(Away)
02 May
Club America W
3 : 2
Juarez W
30 Apr
Juarez W
1 : 1
Club America W
25 Apr
Atlas W
1 : 2
Juarez W
21 Apr
Juarez W
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
05 Apr
Juarez W
1 : 1
Monterrey W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)