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Mazembe vs Celeste

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Mazembe Logo

Mazembe

2 - 0
FT
Celeste Logo

Celeste

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Mazembe and Celeste finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Mazembe
35%
Draws
12%
Celeste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mazembe come out ahead of Celeste on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Mazembe taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mazembe here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Celeste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe Celeste
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.72 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.45 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Celeste
2:0
May 9, 2026 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Mazembe
0:2
May 24, 2023 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Celeste
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 85 / 100
Celeste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe Celeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazembe went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mazembe found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Celeste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS Celeste
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazembe

(Home)
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Aigles du Congo
Page 1 of 6

Celeste

(Away)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1
Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2
Celeste
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 14 9 3 2 25:7 30
2 Aigles du Congo 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
3 AS Maniema 14 7 2 5 16:16 23
4 AS Vita Club 14 5 4 5 11:12 19
5 St Eloi Lupopo 14 4 6 4 11:9 18
6 Don Bosco 14 4 5 5 13:17 17
7 Simba 14 2 5 7 9:18 11
8 Celeste 14 0 4 10 8:25 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)