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Stadium Background

Mazembe vs Celeste

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Mazembe and Celeste finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mazembe
6%
Draws
4%
Celeste
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mazembe come out ahead of Celeste on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mazembe taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mazembe here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Celeste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe Celeste
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Celeste
2:0
May 9, 2026 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Mazembe
0:2
May 24, 2023 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Celeste
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 85 / 100
Celeste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe Celeste

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazembe scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Celeste conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Mazembe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS Celeste
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe1493225:730
2Aigles du Congo1485121:1029
3AS Maniema1472516:1623
4AS Vita Club1454511:1219
5St Eloi Lupopo1446411:918
6Don Bosco1445513:1717
7Simba142579:1811
8Celeste1404108:254