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Mazembe vs Don Bosco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Tue, Nov 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazembe host Don Bosco in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Mazembe at 1.7 goals for, 0.46 against; Don Bosco at 1.18 for, 0.94 against. Head-to-head, Mazembe have won 5 to Don Bosco's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 17, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.50) point toward Mazembe. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mazembe
30%
Draws
23%
Don Bosco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mazembe lately — more wins on the board than Don Bosco.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Mazembe taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mazembe have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Don Bosco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe Don Bosco
Matches Played 37 34
Wins 27 14
Draws 5 12
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.7 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.46 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Don Bosco vs Mazembe
0:3
May 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Don Bosco
4:2
Apr 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Don Bosco
1:0
Nov 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Don Bosco vs Mazembe
0:3
Jun 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Don Bosco vs Mazembe
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 36 / 100
Don Bosco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe Don Bosco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazembe found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (37 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Mazembe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Don Bosco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS Don Bosco
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazembe

(Home)
25 Oct
Club Africain
1 : 0
Mazembe
17 Oct
Mazembe
1 : 1
Club Africain
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
Page 1 of 8

Don Bosco

(Away)
30 Oct
Don Bosco
1 : 0
Butras
26 Oct
New Soger
0 : 0
Don Bosco
20 Oct
Don Bosco
1 : 1
Malole
20 Jun
Don Bosco
1 : 2
Aigles du Congo
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanganyika 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
2 Lubumbashi Sport 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Malole 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
4 Don Bosco 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
5 Simba 4 1 2 1 2:1 5
6 Manika 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
7 St Eloi Lupopo 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
8 Blessing 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 New Soger 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
10 Butras 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
11 Sanga Balende 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
12 Saint-Luc 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
13 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celeste 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 Ufalya Simba 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 FC MK Etancheite 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
4 Etoile de Kivu 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 FC Renaissance 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 AS Vita Club 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
7 AS Maniema 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Etoile du Congo 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Aigles du Congo 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
10 Dauphins Noirs 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
11 AC Rangers 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
12 New Jack 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
13 Novakin 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)