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Mazembe vs Don Bosco

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Mazembe Logo

Mazembe

4 - 2
FT
Don Bosco Logo

Don Bosco

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mazembe in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Mazembe
35%
Draws
12%
Don Bosco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Mazembe have won more games recently than Don Bosco.
  • Mazembe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mazembe have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Don Bosco Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe Don Bosco
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 23 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.44 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Don Bosco vs Mazembe
0:3
May 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Don Bosco
4:2
Apr 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Don Bosco
1:0
Nov 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Don Bosco vs Mazembe
0:3
Jun 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Don Bosco vs Mazembe
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 85 / 100
Don Bosco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe Don Bosco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Mazembe went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mazembe's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Don Bosco has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS Don Bosco
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazembe

(Home)
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Aigles du Congo
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Don Bosco

(Away)
20 Jun
Don Bosco
1 : 2
Aigles du Congo
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 1
Don Bosco
11 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
0 : 0
Don Bosco
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2
Celeste
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 14 9 3 2 25:7 30
2 Aigles du Congo 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
3 AS Maniema 14 7 2 5 16:16 23
4 AS Vita Club 14 5 4 5 11:12 19
5 St Eloi Lupopo 14 4 6 4 11:9 18
6 Don Bosco 14 4 5 5 13:17 17
7 Simba 14 2 5 7 9:18 11
8 Celeste 14 0 4 10 8:25 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)