Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mazembe vs Mont Bleu

DR Congo DR Congo

Super Ligue 2018/2019 Stade Frederic Kibassa Maliba, Lubumbashi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazembe in this Super Ligue 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mazembe
15%
Draws
27%
Mont Bleu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mazembe lately — more wins on the board than Mont Bleu.
  • Model gives Mazembe a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mazembe have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Mont Bleu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe Mont Bleu
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 31 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.08 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.41 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2019 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Mont Bleu
5:0
Dec 2, 2018 Ligue 1
Mont Bleu vs Mazembe
1:3
Jun 20, 2018 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Mont Bleu
1:0
Apr 25, 2018 Ligue 1
Mont Bleu vs Mazembe
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 85 / 100
Mont Bleu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe Mont Bleu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazembe's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Recent resilience: Mazembe stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Mont Bleu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazembe

(Home)
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
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Mont Bleu

(Away)
30 May
Mont Bleu
3 : 0
OC Renaissance
22 May
Mont Bleu
0 : 1
Motema Pembe
19 May
Sanga Balende
3 : 0
Mont Bleu
12 May
Mont Bleu
3 : 0
AS Dragons
06 May
Mont Bleu
0 : 3
Groupe Bazano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 27 2 1 82:11 83
2 AS Vita Club 30 23 5 2 60:15 74
3 Motema Pembe 30 19 6 5 47:25 63
4 AS Maniema 30 17 6 7 40:23 57
5 Sanga Balende 30 11 9 10 37:29 42
6 St Eloi Lupopo 30 10 11 9 25:25 41
7 Dauphins Noirs 30 11 7 12 29:41 40
8 Nyuki 30 10 8 12 28:32 38
9 OC Renaissance 30 10 8 12 28:40 38
10 AC Rangers 30 10 7 13 30:33 37
11 Don Bosco 30 9 9 12 34:36 36
12 Groupe Bazano 30 9 7 14 25:30 34
13 Lubumbashi Sport 30 8 8 14 35:42 32
14 Mont Bleu 30 7 9 14 28:44 30
15 AS Dragons 30 3 5 22 12:53 14
16 Muungano 30 2 1 27 10:71 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2019/2020 (Qualification)